Natural hazards · Fair Lakes

Fair Lakes, VA natural hazards

Most of the natural-hazard damage FEMA expects in Fair Lakes comes from inland flooding, and overall the risk is low for a U.S. community.

FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025 · OpenFEMA claims, aid & declarations

Expected damage

How exposed is Fair Lakes?

Low

vs. U.S. communities

FEMA expects yearly storm and flood damage to homes and buildings in Fair Lakes to be higher than in 27% of U.S. communities, mostly from inland flooding.

Inland flooding76%Hurricanes8%Everything else16%

By hazard

What Fair Lakes faces

Each hazard’s share of the damage FEMA expects here, and how that compares with the rest of the country.

Inland flooding

76% of expected damage

Above average · higher than 50% of U.S. places

Recorded about 6 times a year in the area

Hurricanes

8% of expected damage

Above average · higher than 74% of U.S. places

Recorded about once every 10 years in the area

Lower here

TornadoesHailIce stormsWinter weatherCold wavesHeat wavesWildfireEarthquakesLandslidesStrong windLightning

Not a risk here

Coastal floodingDroughtAvalanchesTsunamisVolcanic activity

Flood risk changes street by street. Check a specific address on FEMA’s flood map, and ask about flood insurance before you buy.

Flood insurance claims

Does Fair Lakes flood?

FEMA's records show no paid flood insurance claims in Fair Lakes.

of homes in flood zones
are insured

of all homes
are insured

No community discount. Fair Lakes isn’t in FEMA’s Community Rating System, which cuts flood insurance up to 45% in towns that do extra flood-proofing.

Insurance rates: Fairfax County.

Disasters that hit Fair Lakes

Federal disasters declared here

None of the disasters declared for Fairfax County shows FEMA aid or repair money reaching Fair Lakes itself in FEMA’s records.

Brought FEMA money into Fair LakesDeclared for Fairfax County only

Fairfax County has had 17 natural disasters declared since 1953, most often winter storms and hurricanes.

Around Fair Lakes

Fair Lakes and the towns around it

Very lowLowModerateHighVery high

Union Millmostly inland floodingModerate

Centrevillemostly inland floodingModerate

Greenbriarmostly inland floodingLow

Fair Lakesmostly inland floodingLow

Fair Oaksmostly inland floodingVery low

About these numbers

How to read this page

An average, not a forecastFEMA’s National Risk Index estimates the damage 18 kinds of natural hazards cause in a typical year, from decades of records and models. A quiet decade can follow a bad year.

Compared by rate“Higher than N%” compares yearly damage as a share of what’s here, so a big city isn’t rated riskier just for having more buildings. Fair Lakes covers 3 census tracts, combined by population.

Money that reached townFlood claims are matched to Fair Lakes’s own flood-insurance community; household aid to the registrant’s city; repair grants to Fair Lakes. FEMA’s model follows property values, so a place that recently lost many homes can rate lower than it feels.

FEMA’s expected losses across Fair Lakes total about $2.4M a year, counting buildings, people and crops.

Sources: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025); OpenFEMA: NFIP redacted claims, multiple-loss properties, community status book and residential penetration rates, housing assistance (owners and renters), public assistance funded projects, hazard mitigation properties and disaster declarations. Census tracts: U.S. Census Bureau.