Natural hazards · Centreville

Centreville, VA natural hazards

Most of the natural-hazard damage FEMA expects in Centreville comes from inland flooding, and overall the risk is moderate for a U.S. community. Flood insurance has paid 12 claims here since 1979. 1 federal disaster brought FEMA money into town.

FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025 · OpenFEMA claims, aid & declarations

Expected damage

How exposed is Centreville?

Moderate

vs. U.S. communities

FEMA expects yearly storm and flood damage to homes and buildings in Centreville to be higher than in 45% of U.S. communities, mostly from inland flooding.

Inland flooding78%Hurricanes6%Heat waves5%Everything else11%

By hazard

What Centreville faces

Each hazard’s share of the damage FEMA expects here, and how that compares with the rest of the country.

Inland flooding

78% of expected damage

Above average · higher than 69% of U.S. places

Recorded about 6 times a year in the area

Hurricanes

6% of expected damage

Above average · higher than 73% of U.S. places

Recorded about once every 11 years in the area

Heat waves

5% of expected damage

Below average · higher than 49% of U.S. places

Recorded about 6 times a year in the area

Lower here

TornadoesHailIce stormsWinter weatherCold wavesWildfireEarthquakesLandslidesStrong windLightning

Not a risk here

Coastal floodingDroughtAvalanchesTsunamisVolcanic activity

Flood risk changes street by street. Check a specific address on FEMA’s flood map, and ask about flood insurance before you buy.

Flood insurance claims

Does Centreville flood?

Every paid claim on a federal flood insurance policy in Centreville, from FEMA’s records.

12paid claims since 1979

$29Kpaid to owners

0homes flooded more than once

19792026

Biggest named events

Hurricane Michael: 1 claim, $1K
Hurricane Ida: 1 claim, $2K

of homes in flood zones
are insured

of all homes
are insured

No community discount. Centreville isn’t in FEMA’s Community Rating System, which cuts flood insurance up to 45% in towns that do extra flood-proofing.

Insurance rates: Fairfax County.

Disasters that hit Centreville

1 federal disaster brought FEMA money here

Disasters the President declared that paid out in Centreville itself: aid to households, or repair grants to Centreville.

Brought FEMA money into CentrevilleDeclared for Fairfax County only

2003

Hurricane Isabel

5 households applied for aid $2K aid approved

Fairfax County has had 17 natural disasters declared since 1953, most often winter storms and hurricanes.

Around Centreville

Centreville and the towns around it

Very lowLowModerateHighVery high

Bull Runmostly inland floodingModerate

Union Millmostly inland floodingModerate

Centrevillemostly inland floodingModerate

Chantillymostly inland floodingLow

Fair Lakesmostly inland floodingLow

About these numbers

How to read this page

An average, not a forecastFEMA’s National Risk Index estimates the damage 18 kinds of natural hazards cause in a typical year, from decades of records and models. A quiet decade can follow a bad year.

Compared by rate“Higher than N%” compares yearly damage as a share of what’s here, so a big city isn’t rated riskier just for having more buildings. Centreville covers 14 census tracts, combined by population.

Money that reached townFlood claims are matched to Centreville’s own flood-insurance community (here, the census tracts inside it); household aid to the registrant’s city; repair grants to Centreville. FEMA’s model follows property values, so a place that recently lost many homes can rate lower than it feels.

FEMA’s expected losses across Centreville total about $13.0M a year, counting buildings, people and crops.

Sources: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025); OpenFEMA: NFIP redacted claims, multiple-loss properties, community status book and residential penetration rates, housing assistance (owners and renters), public assistance funded projects, hazard mitigation properties and disaster declarations. Census tracts: U.S. Census Bureau.