Natural hazards · Greenbriar

Greenbriar, VA natural hazards

Most of the natural-hazard damage FEMA expects in Greenbriar comes from inland flooding, and overall the risk is low for a U.S. community.

FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025 · OpenFEMA claims, aid & declarations
Expected damage

How exposed is Greenbriar?

31
Low
vs. U.S. communities

FEMA expects yearly storm and flood damage to homes and buildings in Greenbriar to be higher than in 31% of U.S. communities, mostly from inland flooding.

Inland flooding75%Hurricanes7%Heat waves6%Everything else12%
By hazard

What Greenbriar faces

Each hazard’s share of the damage FEMA expects here, and how that compares with the rest of the country.

Inland flooding

75% of expected damage
Above average · higher than 55% of U.S. places
Recorded about 6 times a year in the area

Hurricanes

7% of expected damage
Above average · higher than 74% of U.S. places
Recorded about once every 10 years in the area

Heat waves

6% of expected damage
Below average · higher than 49% of U.S. places
Recorded about 6 times a year in the area

Lower here

TornadoesHailIce stormsWinter weatherCold wavesWildfireEarthquakesLandslidesStrong windLightning

Not a risk here

Coastal floodingDroughtAvalanchesTsunamisVolcanic activity
Flood risk changes street by street. Check a specific address on FEMA’s flood map, and ask about flood insurance before you buy.
Flood insurance claims

Does Greenbriar flood?

FEMA's records show no paid flood insurance claims in Greenbriar.

of homes in flood zones
are insured
of all homes
are insured
No community discount. Greenbriar isn’t in FEMA’s Community Rating System, which cuts flood insurance up to 45% in towns that do extra flood-proofing.
Insurance rates: Fairfax County.
Disasters that hit Greenbriar

Federal disasters declared here

None of the disasters declared for Fairfax County shows FEMA aid or repair money reaching Greenbriar itself in FEMA’s records.

Brought FEMA money into GreenbriarDeclared for Fairfax County only
Fairfax County has had 17 natural disasters declared since 1953, most often winter storms and hurricanes.
Around Greenbriar

Greenbriar and the towns around it

Fair Lakes: Low, mostly inland floodingChantilly: Low, mostly inland floodingFair Oaks: Very low, mostly inland floodingCentreville: Moderate, mostly inland floodingUnion Mill: Moderate, mostly inland floodingFranklin Farm: Low, mostly inland floodingSully Square: Very low, mostly inland floodingBull Run: Moderate, mostly inland floodingNavy: Low, mostly inland floodingGreenbriar: Low, mostly inland flooding GreenbriarFair LakesChantilly
Very lowLowModerateHighVery high
Chantillymostly inland floodingLow
Greenbriarmostly inland floodingLow
Fair Lakesmostly inland floodingLow
About these numbers

How to read this page

An average, not a forecastFEMA’s National Risk Index estimates the damage 18 kinds of natural hazards cause in a typical year, from decades of records and models. A quiet decade can follow a bad year.
Compared by rate“Higher than N%” compares yearly damage as a share of what’s here, so a big city isn’t rated riskier just for having more buildings. Greenbriar covers 2 census tracts, combined by population.
Money that reached townFlood claims are matched to Greenbriar’s own flood-insurance community; household aid to the registrant’s city; repair grants to Greenbriar. FEMA’s model follows property values, so a place that recently lost many homes can rate lower than it feels.

FEMA’s expected losses across Greenbriar total about $1.9M a year, counting buildings, people and crops.

Sources: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025); OpenFEMA: NFIP redacted claims, multiple-loss properties, community status book and residential penetration rates, housing assistance (owners and renters), public assistance funded projects, hazard mitigation properties and disaster declarations. Census tracts: U.S. Census Bureau.

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Boundary source: https://tigerweb.geo.census.gov/arcgis/rest/services/TIGERweb/Places_CouSub_ConCity_SubMCD/MapServer/19 · 2025-01-01