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Natural hazards in St. Paul · FEMA

St. Paul is calmer than 75% of U.S. communities

Most of the natural-hazard damage FEMA expects in St. Paul comes from inland flooding, and overall the risk is low for a U.S. community. Flood insurance has paid 44 claims here since 1978. 6 federal disasters brought FEMA money into town.

25Low riskLowerHigherExpected storm and flood damage, vs. U.S. communities
Overall risk
Low
higher than 25% of U.S. places
Main hazard
Inland flooding
32% of expected damage
Flood claims
44
paid since 1978 · $1.1M
Disasters paid out here
6
of 16 declared for Ramsey County
Expected yearly loss
$93.9M
buildings, people and crops

What stands out about St. Paul’s weather risks

Read from FEMA’s records below. The page puts what stands out first.

★ What stands out · Flood insurance claims

Does St. Paul flood? Sometimes: 44 flood claims since 1978

Every paid claim on a federal flood insurance policy in St. Paul, from FEMA’s records.

Paid flood claims, by year
1978: 3 claims1979: 3 claims1980: 0 claims1981: 0 claims1982: 0 claims1983: 1 claim1984: 1 claim1985: 0 claims1986: 0 claims1987: 0 claims1988: 0 claims1989: 0 claims1990: 0 claims1991: 0 claims1992: 0 claims1993: 3 claims1994: 0 claims1995: 0 claims1996: 0 claims1997: 6 claims1998: 0 claims1999: 0 claims2000: 0 claims2001: 11 claims2002: 0 claims2003: 0 claims2004: 0 claims2005: 0 claims2006: 0 claims2007: 1 claim2008: 0 claims2009: 0 claims2010: 0 claims2011: 4 claims2012: 0 claims2013: 0 claims2014: 9 claims2015: 0 claims2016: 0 claims2017: 1 claim2018: 0 claims2019: 1 claim2020: 0 claims2021: 0 claims2022: 0 claims2023: 0 claims2024: 0 claims2025: 0 claims2026: 0 claims 199720012014
19782026
Biggest named events
  • The Severe flooding10 claims · $388K
44
paid claims since 1978
$1.1M
paid to owners
4
homes flooded more than once
$24K
average claim
Homes that flooded again and again
FEMA “severe repetitive loss” (0)Flooded 2+ times
of homes in flood zones are insured
of all homes are insured
No community discount

St. Paul isn’t in FEMA’s Community Rating System, which cuts flood insurance up to 45% in towns that do extra flood-proofing.

Insurance rates: Ramsey County.
What’s been done with FEMA grants
9flood-prone properties bought out and cleared
Expected damage

How exposed is St. Paul?

FEMA expects yearly storm and flood damage to homes and buildings here to be higher than in 25% of U.S. communities, mostly from inland flooding and cold waves.

Where St. Paul sits
St. Paul
Very lowLowModerateHighVery high

Calmer than 2,318 of the 2,631 Minnesota towns we cover.

St. Paul covers 85 census tracts, combined by population.

What drives the damage
Inland flooding32%Cold waves26%Tornadoes23%Heat waves10%Hail6%Everything else3%
By hazard

What St. Paul faces

Each hazard’s share of the damage FEMA expects here, and how it compares with the rest of the country.

Inland flooding

32%of expected damage
Below average · higher than 34% of U.S. places
Recorded about once a year in the area

Cold waves

26%of expected damage
Below average · higher than 36% of U.S. places
Recorded about 9 times a year in the area

Tornadoes

23%of expected damage
Well above average · higher than 84% of U.S. places

Heat waves

10%of expected damage
Below average · higher than 44% of U.S. places
Recorded about 7 times a year in the area

Hail

6%of expected damage
Well above average · higher than 91% of U.S. places
Recorded about 7 times a year in the area
Lower here
🧊 Ice storms❄️ Winter weather🔥 Wildfire🏚️ Earthquakes⛰️ Landslides💨 Strong wind⚡ Lightning
Not a risk here
Coastal floodingHurricanesDroughtAvalanchesTsunamisVolcanic activity
Flood risk changes street by street. Check a specific address on FEMA’s flood map, and ask about flood insurance before you buy.
Storms remembered

6 federal disasters brought FEMA money to St. Paul

Disasters that paid out in St. Paul itself (aid to households or repair grants to the City of St. Paul) and its biggest flood years.

  1. 2019Severe Winter Storm, Straight-Line Winds, and Flooding$1.2M to the City of St. Paul for repairs
  2. 2014Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Flooding, Landslides, and Mudslides$1.4M to the City of St. Paul for repairs9 flood claims paid that year
  3. 2011Severe Storms and Flooding$867K to the City of St. Paul for repairs
  4. 2010Flooding$439K to the City of St. Paul for repairs
  5. 2001Severe Winter Storms, Flooding, and Tornadoes$1.2M to the City of St. Paul for repairs11 flood claims paid that year
  6. 2000Severe Storms and Flooding$454K to the City of St. Paul for repairs
Disasters declared, by decade
Paid out in St. PaulRamsey County only

Ramsey County has had 16 natural disasters declared since 1953, most often floods and severe storms.

Were you here?

Old photos of St. Paul after a storm or flood belong in the town’s history. Add one, or share what you remember below.

Add to the St. Paul archive →
Be ready

Get ready for what St. Paul actually faces

A short kit for its top hazards, what to check before you buy, and where neighbors get alerts.

When the river rises
  • Turn around at flooded roads: a foot of moving water can carry off a car.
  • Flood insurance usually takes 30 days to start, so buy it before the forecast.
  • Keep papers and medicines up high, in a grab-and-go bag.
More from Ready.gov ↗
Cold snaps
  • Let faucets drip so pipes don’t freeze.
  • Know where your water shutoff is.
  • Never heat the house with the oven or a grill.
More from Ready.gov ↗
Tornado warnings
  • Pick your spot now: the lowest floor, an inside room, no windows.
  • A watch means be ready; a warning means take cover now.
  • Keep shoes and a flashlight by the bed.
More from Ready.gov ↗
Before you buy or rent
  • Look up the address on FEMA’s flood map.
  • Ask the seller or landlord whether it has ever flooded, and what flood insurance costs there.
  • Get a flood insurance quote early: policies usually start 30 days after you buy.
When a storm is coming
Forecast and alertsWeather →911, the nearest ERSafety →

Know where neighbors sign up for alerts? Add it to the Handbook so everyone has it.

Next door

St. Paul and its neighbors

St. Paul ranks 6th calmest of 10 towns around it. Tap a town to see its hazards.

Very lowLowModerateHighVery high
TownRatingMostlyFlood claims
MendotaModerateinland flooding0
MinneapolisLowinland flooding108
Mendota HeightsLowinland flooding2
South St. PaulLowinland flooding3
St. PaulLowinland flooding44
Falcon HeightsLowinland flooding0
MaplewoodLowinland flooding5
LilydaleVery lowinland flooding34
RosevilleVery lowinland flooding5
West St. PaulVery lowtornadoes4

Rating = expected yearly storm and flood damage as a share of what’s there, vs. U.S. communities. Flood claims = paid federal flood insurance claims on record.

Storm season

Most disasters here begin in March–May

The month each of Ramsey County’s 16 declared disasters began, since 1953.

J
F
5M
2A
3M
3J
2J
1A
S
O
N
D
FloodsSevere stormsDroughtsHurricanesTornadoes
How to read this page

What these numbers can and can’t tell you

  • An average, not a forecast. FEMA’s National Risk Index estimates the damage 18 kinds of natural hazards cause in a typical year, from decades of records and models. A quiet decade can follow a bad year.
  • Compared by rate. “Higher than N%” compares yearly damage as a share of what’s there, so a big city isn’t rated riskier just for having more buildings.
  • Money that reached town. Flood claims are matched to St. Paul’s own flood-insurance community; household aid to the registrant’s city; repair grants to the City of St. Paul.
  • It follows property value. FEMA’s model weighs damage to buildings, so a place that recently lost many homes can rate lower than it feels. Across St. Paul, expected losses total about $93.9M a year, counting buildings, people and crops.

Storm stories

Memories, warnings and help from neighbors in St. Paul.

Town Square →
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Sources: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025); OpenFEMA: NFIP redacted claims, multiple-loss properties, community status book and residential penetration rates, housing assistance (owners and renters), public assistance funded projects, hazard mitigation properties and disaster declarations. Census tracts: U.S. Census Bureau. Preparedness tips: Ready.gov. An average of past damage, not a forecast.

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