Natural hazards · Goose Lake

Goose Lake, IL natural hazards

Most of the natural-hazard damage FEMA expects in Goose Lake comes from inland flooding, and overall the risk is high for a U.S. community. Flood insurance has paid 105 claims here since 1978. 1 federal disaster brought FEMA money into town.

FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025 · OpenFEMA claims, aid & declarations
Expected damage

How exposed is Goose Lake?

66
High
vs. U.S. communities

FEMA expects yearly storm and flood damage to homes and buildings in Goose Lake to be higher than in 66% of U.S. communities, mostly from inland flooding and cold waves.

Inland flooding46%Cold waves39%Tornadoes9%Everything else6%
By hazard

What Goose Lake faces

Each hazard’s share of the damage FEMA expects here, and how that compares with the rest of the country.

Inland flooding

46% of expected damage
Well above average · higher than 83% of U.S. places
Recorded about once a year in the area

Cold waves

39% of expected damage
Well below average · higher than 18% of U.S. places
Recorded about 5 times a year in the area

Tornadoes

9% of expected damage
Well above average · higher than 85% of U.S. places
Recorded about once every 30 years in the area

Lower here

HurricanesHailIce stormsWinter weatherHeat wavesWildfireEarthquakesLandslidesStrong windLightningDrought

Not a risk here

Coastal floodingAvalanchesTsunamisVolcanic activity
Flood risk changes street by street. Check a specific address on FEMA’s flood map, and ask about flood insurance before you buy.
Flood insurance claims

Does Goose Lake flood?

Every paid claim on a federal flood insurance policy in Goose Lake, from FEMA’s records.

105paid claims since 1978
$2.2Mpaid to owners
0homes flooded more than once
19782026

Biggest named events

  • Hurricane Ike: 15 claims, $477K
  • Mid-spring storms: 5 claims, $123K
  • Midwest Flooding: 1 claim, $20K
of homes in flood zones
are insured
of all homes
are insured
No community discount. Goose Lake isn’t in FEMA’s Community Rating System, which cuts flood insurance up to 45% in towns that do extra flood-proofing.
Insurance rates: Grundy County.
Disasters that hit Goose Lake

1 federal disaster brought FEMA money here

Disasters the President declared that paid out in Goose Lake itself: aid to households, or repair grants to the Township of Goose Lake.

Brought FEMA money into Goose LakeDeclared for Grundy County only
1999

Il-Winter Storm 1/1/99

$6K to the Township of Goose Lake for repairs
Grundy County has had 13 natural disasters declared since 1953, most often floods and winter storms.
Around Goose Lake

Goose Lake and the towns around it

Wauponsee: Very high, mostly inland floodingAux Sable: Moderate, mostly cold wavesFelix: High, mostly inland floodingMorris: Moderate, mostly cold wavesWilmington: High, mostly inland floodingMorris: Very high, mostly inland floodingErienna: Very high, mostly inland floodingNorman: Very high, mostly inland floodingMazon: High, mostly inland floodingSaratoga: Moderate, mostly cold wavesSeward: Moderate, mostly inland floodingChannahon: Moderate, mostly inland floodingMinooka: Moderate, mostly cold wavesFlorence: Very low, mostly inland floodingReed: Very low, mostly inland floodingWilmington: High, mostly inland floodingGoose Lake: High, mostly inland flooding Goose LakeWauponseeAux SableFelixMorrisWilmington
Very lowLowModerateHighVery high
Wauponseemostly inland floodingVery high
Wilmingtonmostly inland floodingHigh
Goose Lakemostly inland floodingHigh
Felixmostly inland floodingHigh
Morrismostly cold wavesModerate
Aux Sablemostly cold wavesModerate
About these numbers

How to read this page

An average, not a forecastFEMA’s National Risk Index estimates the damage 18 kinds of natural hazards cause in a typical year, from decades of records and models. A quiet decade can follow a bad year.
Compared by rate“Higher than N%” compares yearly damage as a share of what’s here, so a big city isn’t rated riskier just for having more buildings. Goose Lake covers 1 census tract, combined by population.
Money that reached townFlood claims are matched to Goose Lake’s own flood-insurance community (here, the census tracts inside it); household aid to the registrant’s city; repair grants to the Township of Goose Lake. FEMA’s model follows property values, so a place that recently lost many homes can rate lower than it feels.

FEMA’s expected losses across Goose Lake total about $5.9M a year, counting buildings, people and crops.

Sources: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025); OpenFEMA: NFIP redacted claims, multiple-loss properties, community status book and residential penetration rates, housing assistance (owners and renters), public assistance funded projects, hazard mitigation properties and disaster declarations. Census tracts: U.S. Census Bureau.

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Boundary source: https://tigerweb.geo.census.gov/arcgis/rest/services/TIGERweb/Places_CouSub_ConCity_SubMCD/MapServer/15 · 2025-01-01