Natural hazards · Aux Sable

Aux Sable, IL natural hazards

Most of the natural-hazard damage FEMA expects in Aux Sable comes from cold waves, and overall the risk is moderate for a U.S. community. Flood insurance has paid 66 claims here since 1981. 2 federal disasters brought FEMA money into town.

FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025 · OpenFEMA claims, aid & declarations
Expected damage

How exposed is Aux Sable?

40
Moderate
vs. U.S. communities

FEMA expects yearly storm and flood damage to homes and buildings in Aux Sable to be higher than in 40% of U.S. communities, mostly from cold waves and inland flooding.

Cold waves49%Inland flooding32%Tornadoes11%Everything else8%
By hazard

What Aux Sable faces

Each hazard’s share of the damage FEMA expects here, and how that compares with the rest of the country.

Cold waves

49% of expected damage
Well below average · higher than 18% of U.S. places
Recorded about 5 times a year in the area

Inland flooding

32% of expected damage
Above average · higher than 57% of U.S. places
Recorded about once a year in the area

Tornadoes

11% of expected damage
Well above average · higher than 84% of U.S. places
Recorded about once every 70 years in the area

Lower here

HurricanesHailIce stormsWinter weatherHeat wavesWildfireEarthquakesLandslidesStrong windLightningDrought

Not a risk here

Coastal floodingAvalanchesTsunamisVolcanic activity
Flood risk changes street by street. Check a specific address on FEMA’s flood map, and ask about flood insurance before you buy.
Flood insurance claims

Does Aux Sable flood?

Every paid claim on a federal flood insurance policy in Aux Sable, from FEMA’s records.

66paid claims since 1981
$2.2Mpaid to owners
0homes flooded more than once
19812026

Biggest named events

  • Mid-spring storms: 19 claims, $963K
  • Hurricane Ike: 8 claims, $318K
of homes in flood zones
are insured
of all homes
are insured
No community discount. Aux Sable isn’t in FEMA’s Community Rating System, which cuts flood insurance up to 45% in towns that do extra flood-proofing.
Insurance rates: Grundy County.
Disasters that hit Aux Sable

2 federal disasters brought FEMA money here

Disasters the President declared that paid out in Aux Sable itself: aid to households, or repair grants to the Township of Aux Sable.

Brought FEMA money into Aux SableDeclared for Grundy County only
2011

Severe Winter Storm and Snowstorm

$10K to the Township of Aux Sable for repairs
1999

Il-Winter Storm 1/1/99

$4K to the Township of Aux Sable for repairs
Grundy County has had 13 natural disasters declared since 1953, most often floods and winter storms.
Around Aux Sable

Aux Sable and the towns around it

Goose Lake: High, mostly inland floodingSaratoga: Moderate, mostly cold wavesSeward: Moderate, mostly inland floodingChannahon: Moderate, mostly inland floodingMinooka: Moderate, mostly cold wavesWauponsee: Very high, mostly inland floodingFelix: High, mostly inland floodingMorris: Moderate, mostly cold wavesWilmington: High, mostly inland floodingNettle Creek: High, mostly inland floodingLisbon: Moderate, mostly inland floodingNa-Au-Say: Low, mostly inland floodingTroy: Moderate, mostly inland floodingPlattville: Moderate, mostly inland floodingJackson: Low, mostly inland floodingChannahon: Low, mostly cold wavesAux Sable: Moderate, mostly cold waves Aux SableGoose LakeSaratogaSewardChannahonMinooka
Very lowLowModerateHighVery high
Goose Lakemostly inland floodingHigh
Saratogamostly cold wavesModerate
Channahonmostly inland floodingModerate
Sewardmostly inland floodingModerate
Minookamostly cold wavesModerate
Aux Sablemostly cold wavesModerate
About these numbers

How to read this page

An average, not a forecastFEMA’s National Risk Index estimates the damage 18 kinds of natural hazards cause in a typical year, from decades of records and models. A quiet decade can follow a bad year.
Compared by rate“Higher than N%” compares yearly damage as a share of what’s here, so a big city isn’t rated riskier just for having more buildings. Aux Sable covers 2 census tracts, combined by population.
Money that reached townFlood claims are matched to Aux Sable’s own flood-insurance community (here, the census tracts inside it); household aid to the registrant’s city; repair grants to the Township of Aux Sable. FEMA’s model follows property values, so a place that recently lost many homes can rate lower than it feels.

FEMA’s expected losses across Aux Sable total about $12.3M a year, counting buildings, people and crops.

Sources: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025); OpenFEMA: NFIP redacted claims, multiple-loss properties, community status book and residential penetration rates, housing assistance (owners and renters), public assistance funded projects, hazard mitigation properties and disaster declarations. Census tracts: U.S. Census Bureau.

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Boundary source: https://tigerweb.geo.census.gov/arcgis/rest/services/TIGERweb/Places_CouSub_ConCity_SubMCD/MapServer/15 · 2025-01-01