Natural hazards · Alafaya

Alafaya, FL natural hazards

Most of the natural-hazard damage FEMA expects in Alafaya comes from inland flooding, and overall the risk is moderate for a U.S. community. Flood insurance has paid 17 claims here since 2004. 4 federal disasters brought FEMA money into town.

FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025 · OpenFEMA claims, aid & declarations
Expected damage

How exposed is Alafaya?

59
Moderate
vs. U.S. communities

FEMA expects yearly storm and flood damage to homes and buildings in Alafaya to be higher than in 59% of U.S. communities, mostly from inland flooding and hurricanes.

Inland flooding49%Hurricanes17%Cold waves13%Tornadoes10%Strong wind6%Everything else5%
By hazard

What Alafaya faces

Each hazard’s share of the damage FEMA expects here, and how that compares with the rest of the country.

Inland flooding

49% of expected damage
Above average · higher than 61% of U.S. places
Recorded about once every 3 years in the area

Hurricanes

17% of expected damage
Well above average · higher than 86% of U.S. places
Recorded about once every 4 years in the area

Cold waves

13% of expected damage
Above average · higher than 71% of U.S. places
Recorded about 4 times a year in the area

Tornadoes

10% of expected damage
Above average · higher than 67% of U.S. places

Strong wind

6% of expected damage
Well above average · higher than 97% of U.S. places
Recorded about once a year in the area

Lower here

HailHeat wavesWildfireEarthquakesLightningDrought

Not a risk here

Coastal floodingIce stormsWinter weatherLandslidesAvalanchesTsunamisVolcanic activity
Flood risk changes street by street. Check a specific address on FEMA’s flood map, and ask about flood insurance before you buy.
Flood insurance claims

Does Alafaya flood?

Every paid claim on a federal flood insurance policy in Alafaya, from FEMA’s records.

17paid claims since 2004
$246Kpaid to owners
0homes flooded more than once
20042026

Biggest named events

  • Hurricane Ian: 12 claims, $224K
  • Hurricane Nicole: 2 claims, $17K
  • Tropical Storm Fay: 1 claim, $2K
of homes in flood zones
are insured
of all homes
are insured
No community discount. Alafaya isn’t in FEMA’s Community Rating System, which cuts flood insurance up to 45% in towns that do extra flood-proofing.
Insurance rates: Orange County.
Disasters that hit Alafaya

4 federal disasters brought FEMA money here

Disasters the President declared that paid out in Alafaya itself: aid to households, or repair grants to Alafaya.

Brought FEMA money into AlafayaDeclared for Orange County only
2024

Hurricane Milton

4 households applied for aid $1K aid approved
2022

Hurricane Ian

10 households applied for aid $9K aid approved
2017

Hurricane Irma

4 households applied for aid
2008

Tropical Storm Fay

1 household applied for aid $4K aid approved
Orange County has had 30 natural disasters declared since 1953, most often hurricanes and fires.
Around Alafaya

Alafaya and the towns around it

Bithlo: Moderate, mostly inland floodingWedgefield: High, mostly inland floodingUnion Park: High, mostly inland floodingOrlando: Moderate, mostly inland floodingUniversity: Low, mostly hurricanesChristmas: High, mostly inland floodingFairview Shores: Low, mostly inland floodingHolden Lakes: Moderate, mostly inland floodingAzalea Park: Moderate, mostly inland floodingPine Hills: High, mostly inland floodingWinter Park: Moderate, mostly inland floodingTaft: Low, mostly inland floodingConway: Moderate, mostly inland floodingOak Ridge: High, mostly inland floodingDoctor Phillips: Moderate, mostly inland floodingLake Hart: High, mostly inland floodingOrlovista: Moderate, mostly inland floodingAlafaya: Moderate, mostly inland flooding AlafayaBithloWedgefieldUnion ParkOrlandoUniversity
Very lowLowModerateHighVery high
Wedgefieldmostly inland floodingHigh
Union Parkmostly inland floodingHigh
Alafayamostly inland floodingModerate
Orlandomostly inland floodingModerate
Bithlomostly inland floodingModerate
Universitymostly hurricanesLow
About these numbers

How to read this page

An average, not a forecastFEMA’s National Risk Index estimates the damage 18 kinds of natural hazards cause in a typical year, from decades of records and models. A quiet decade can follow a bad year.
Compared by rate“Higher than N%” compares yearly damage as a share of what’s here, so a big city isn’t rated riskier just for having more buildings. Alafaya covers 15 census tracts, combined by population.
Money that reached townFlood claims are matched to Alafaya’s own flood-insurance community (here, the census tracts inside it); household aid to the registrant’s city; repair grants to Alafaya. FEMA’s model follows property values, so a place that recently lost many homes can rate lower than it feels.

FEMA’s expected losses across Alafaya total about $22.1M a year, counting buildings, people and crops.

Sources: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025); OpenFEMA: NFIP redacted claims, multiple-loss properties, community status book and residential penetration rates, housing assistance (owners and renters), public assistance funded projects, hazard mitigation properties and disaster declarations. Census tracts: U.S. Census Bureau.

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Boundary source: https://tigerweb.geo.census.gov/arcgis/rest/services/TIGERweb/Places_CouSub_ConCity_SubMCD/MapServer/19 · 2025-01-01