Climate · Nellysford

Nellysford, VA climate

Nellysford has chilly winters and pleasant summers, with plenty of rain. A typical July afternoon reaches 80°, a January night drops to 23°, and about 22 inches of snow falls in a normal winter.

NOAA 1991-2020 climate normals Updated once a decade
July high
80°
11th coolest of 700 Virginia towns
January low
23°
19th coldest of 700 Virginia towns
Rain + melted snow
49 in
51st wettest of 700 Virginia towns
Snow a winter
22 in
76th snowiest of 698 Virginia towns
A normal year

What a year in Nellysford feels like

Winter

43° / 24°
Typical high / low · 6 days with an inch or more of snow

Spring

61° / 40°
Typical high / low · Last frost around Apr 21

Summer

78° / 59°
Typical high / low · 18 days reach 90° in a normal year

Fall

63° / 43°
Typical high / low · First frost around Oct 23
Best months to be outsideAprMayJunJulAugSepOctHighs of 62–84° and lows of 40° or more
Month by month

Nellysford weather by month

Average highs, lows, rain and snow for every month, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 normals.

MonthHighLowRain + meltSnowWet daysSnow on ground30-yr range
January40°23°3.6" 5.4"95 25° – 38°
February44°25°2.7" 6.8"76 25° – 43°
March51°30°4.0" 4.1"93 35° – 51°
April62°40°4.0" 0.1"110 47° – 56°
May70°49°4.7" 0130 54° – 66°
June76°57°4.8" 0110 62° – 71°
July80°61°4.1" 0120 66° – 74°
August79°60°4.2" 0120 66° – 73°
September72°53°5.2" 0100 59° – 68°
October63°43°4.0" 080 49° – 59°
November52°34°3.8" 0.4"80 37° – 49°
December44°26°3.8" 4.8"94 25° – 45°
Year61°42°48.9"21.6"11919

“Wet days” have at least 0.01" of rain or melted snow. “Snow on ground” counts days with 1" or more. The 30-year range is the coldest and warmest that month’s average temperature got between 1991 and 2020.

Rain & snow

Rain and snow in Nellysford

Nellysford gets 49 inches of rain and melted snow a year. September is the wettest month and February the driest. Rain or snow falls on about 119 days a year. Snow covers the ground about 19 days of the year.

49 in
Rain + melted snow a year
More rain than 85% of U.S. towns
22 in
Snow in a normal winter
Less snow than 55% of U.S. towns
19 days
With 1"+ of snow on the ground
Fewer than 61% of U.S. towns

Rain + melted snow by month

Inches of water
5.2"

Snowfall by month

Inches of snow
6.8"
Frost & the growing season

About 184 frost-free days a year

In half of years the last 32° night comes by April 21 and the first one by October 23. That leaves about 184 frost-free days for gardens, longer than 57% of U.S. towns.

120
nights at or below 32° in a normal year
<1
nights below 0° in a normal year
18
days that reach 90° in a normal year

Freezing nights by month

Average nights at or below 32°

90° days by month

Average days at 90° or more
Heating & cooling

Heating and cooling a home in Nellysford

Engineers use “degree days” to estimate how hard a furnace or air conditioner works. In Nellysford, 84% of that work is heating and 16% is cooling, so the furnace matters far more than the air conditioner.

84%heating
4,851 heating degree daysLess heating than 68% of U.S. towns
904 cooling degree daysMore cooling than 55% of U.S. towns

Degree days measure how far each day’s average temperature falls below or rises above 65°, added up over a year. Source: NOAA station normals.

Compared with other towns

How Nellysford compares

Summer heat80° July high
Cooler than 87% of U.S. towns11th coolest of 700 Virginia towns
Winter cold23° January low
Milder than 65% of U.S. towns19th coldest of 700 Virginia towns
Precipitation49" a year
Wetter than 85% of U.S. towns51st wettest of 700 Virginia towns
Snow22" a winter
Less snow than 55% of U.S. towns76th snowiest of 698 Virginia towns
Growing season184 frost-free days
Longer than 57% of U.S. towns184th shortest of 700 Virginia towns

Compared with every U.S. town and city on TownTapestry, each counted once.

Then and now

Warmer than it used to be

+1.4°1991–2020 average vs. the 20th century (1901–2000)

The last 30 years in Nellysford averaged 1.4° warmer than the 1900s. The biggest change is in February (+2.6°). The shift is larger than in 62% of U.S. towns.

❄️ Winter+2.2° now 33°, was 31°
🌷 Spring+1.2° now 50°, was 49°
☀️ Summer+1.0° now 69°, was 68°
🍂 Fall+1.0° now 53°, was 52°

Change by month1991–2020 average minus 1901–2000 average, at Nellysford’s spot on NOAA’s grid

Year to year

How much a month can swing

A normal is an average, and real years wander around it. December swings the most: between 1991 and 2020 its average temperature ranged from 25° to 45°. August is the most reliable, staying within 7°.

Coldest to warmest month in 30 yearsNormal
Questions

Common questions about Nellysford’s climate

What is the coldest month in Nellysford?

January, with a typical high of 40° and a low of 23°.

What is the hottest month in Nellysford?

July, with a typical high of 80° and a low of 61°. About 18 days a year reach 90°.

How much snow does Nellysford get?

About 22 inches in a normal winter, most of it in February.

When is the first frost in Nellysford?

In half of years the first 32° night comes by October 23, and the last spring frost by April 21.

What is the rainiest month in Nellysford?

September, with 5.2 inches of rain and melted snow. The year totals 49 inches.

Temperatures and rainfall come from NOAA’s gridded climate normals for Nellysford itself (about a 3-mile square). Snow, frost dates and day counts come from NOAA’s weather station at Staunton Wtp, VA (20 mi, snow) and Waynesboro Wtp, VA (11 mi, frost, heat and degree days). Normals are 30-year averages, not a forecast. Source: NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991–2020 and 1901–2000.

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