Natural hazards · Navy

Navy, VA natural hazards

Most of the natural-hazard damage FEMA expects in Navy comes from inland flooding, and overall the risk is low for a U.S. community.

FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025 · OpenFEMA claims, aid & declarations
Expected damage

How exposed is Navy?

27
Low
vs. U.S. communities

FEMA expects yearly storm and flood damage to homes and buildings in Navy to be higher than in 27% of U.S. communities, mostly from inland flooding.

Inland flooding77%Hurricanes8%Everything else15%
By hazard

What Navy faces

Each hazard’s share of the damage FEMA expects here, and how that compares with the rest of the country.

Inland flooding

77% of expected damage
Above average · higher than 50% of U.S. places
Recorded about 6 times a year in the area

Hurricanes

8% of expected damage
Above average · higher than 74% of U.S. places
Recorded about once every 10 years in the area

Lower here

TornadoesHailIce stormsWinter weatherCold wavesHeat wavesWildfireEarthquakesLandslidesStrong windLightning

Not a risk here

Coastal floodingDroughtAvalanchesTsunamisVolcanic activity
Flood risk changes street by street. Check a specific address on FEMA’s flood map, and ask about flood insurance before you buy.
Flood insurance claims

Does Navy flood?

FEMA's records show no paid flood insurance claims in Navy.

of homes in flood zones
are insured
of all homes
are insured
No community discount. Navy isn’t in FEMA’s Community Rating System, which cuts flood insurance up to 45% in towns that do extra flood-proofing.
Insurance rates: Fairfax County.
Disasters that hit Navy

Federal disasters declared here

None of the disasters declared for Fairfax County shows FEMA aid or repair money reaching Navy itself in FEMA’s records.

Brought FEMA money into NavyDeclared for Fairfax County only
Fairfax County has had 17 natural disasters declared since 1953, most often winter storms and hurricanes.
Around Navy

Navy and the towns around it

Franklin Farm: Low, mostly inland floodingFair Oaks: Very low, mostly inland floodingDifficult Run: Very low, mostly inland floodingChantilly: Low, mostly inland floodingFloris: Very low, mostly inland floodingReston: Very low, mostly inland floodingSully Square: Very low, mostly inland floodingOakton: Very low, mostly inland floodingFair Lakes: Low, mostly inland floodingFairfax: Very low, mostly inland floodingGeorge Mason: Very low, mostly inland floodingWolf Trap: Low, mostly inland floodingCentreville: Moderate, mostly inland floodingBull Run: Moderate, mostly inland floodingGreenbriar: Low, mostly inland floodingNavy: Low, mostly inland flooding NavyFranklin FarmFair OaksDifficult RunChantilly
Very lowLowModerateHighVery high
Chantillymostly inland floodingLow
Franklin Farmmostly inland floodingLow
Navymostly inland floodingLow
Difficult Runmostly inland floodingVery low
Fair Oaksmostly inland floodingVery low
About these numbers

How to read this page

An average, not a forecastFEMA’s National Risk Index estimates the damage 18 kinds of natural hazards cause in a typical year, from decades of records and models. A quiet decade can follow a bad year.
Compared by rate“Higher than N%” compares yearly damage as a share of what’s here, so a big city isn’t rated riskier just for having more buildings. Navy covers 1 census tract, combined by population.
Money that reached townFlood claims are matched to Navy’s own flood-insurance community; household aid to the registrant’s city; repair grants to Navy. FEMA’s model follows property values, so a place that recently lost many homes can rate lower than it feels.

FEMA’s expected losses across Navy total about $1.1M a year, counting buildings, people and crops.

Sources: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025); OpenFEMA: NFIP redacted claims, multiple-loss properties, community status book and residential penetration rates, housing assistance (owners and renters), public assistance funded projects, hazard mitigation properties and disaster declarations. Census tracts: U.S. Census Bureau.

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Boundary source: https://tigerweb.geo.census.gov/arcgis/rest/services/TIGERweb/Places_CouSub_ConCity_SubMCD/MapServer/19 · 2025-01-01