Natural hazards · Mantua

Mantua, VA natural hazards

Most of the natural-hazard damage FEMA expects in Mantua comes from inland flooding, and overall the risk is low for a U.S. community. Flood insurance has paid 5 claims here since 1979.

FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025 · OpenFEMA claims, aid & declarations
Expected damage

How exposed is Mantua?

23
Low
vs. U.S. communities

FEMA expects yearly storm and flood damage to homes and buildings in Mantua to be higher than in 23% of U.S. communities, mostly from inland flooding.

Inland flooding72%Hurricanes8%Heat waves5%Earthquakes5%Everything else10%
By hazard

What Mantua faces

Each hazard’s share of the damage FEMA expects here, and how that compares with the rest of the country.

Inland flooding

72% of expected damage
Below average · higher than 44% of U.S. places
Recorded about 6 times a year in the area

Hurricanes

8% of expected damage
Above average · higher than 74% of U.S. places
Recorded about once every 10 years in the area

Heat waves

5% of expected damage
Below average · higher than 49% of U.S. places
Recorded about 6 times a year in the area

Earthquakes

5% of expected damage
Above average · higher than 50% of U.S. places

Lower here

TornadoesHailIce stormsWinter weatherCold wavesWildfireLandslidesStrong windLightning

Not a risk here

Coastal floodingDroughtAvalanchesTsunamisVolcanic activity
Flood risk changes street by street. Check a specific address on FEMA’s flood map, and ask about flood insurance before you buy.
Flood insurance claims

Does Mantua flood?

Every paid claim on a federal flood insurance policy in Mantua, from FEMA’s records.

5paid claims since 1979
$17Kpaid to owners
0homes flooded more than once
19792026

Biggest named events

  • Hurricane Eta: 1 claim, $9K
  • Mid-spring storms: 1 claim, $6K
of homes in flood zones
are insured
of all homes
are insured
No community discount. Mantua isn’t in FEMA’s Community Rating System, which cuts flood insurance up to 45% in towns that do extra flood-proofing.
Insurance rates: Fairfax County.
Disasters that hit Mantua

Federal disasters declared here

None of the disasters declared for Fairfax County shows FEMA aid or repair money reaching Mantua itself in FEMA’s records.

Brought FEMA money into MantuaDeclared for Fairfax County only
Fairfax County has had 17 natural disasters declared since 1953, most often winter storms and hurricanes.
Around Mantua

Mantua and the towns around it

Woodburn: Very low, mostly inland floodingFairfax: Very low, mostly inland floodingMerrifield: Very low, mostly inland floodingLong Branch: Very low, mostly inland floodingAnnandale: Very low, mostly inland floodingWakefield: Very low, mostly inland floodingGeorge Mason: Very low, mostly inland floodingOakton: Very low, mostly inland floodingFair Oaks: Very low, mostly inland floodingDunn Loring: Very low, mostly inland floodingIdylwood: Very low, mostly inland floodingWest Falls Church: Very low, mostly inland floodingKings Park West: Low, mostly inland floodingBurke: Low, mostly inland floodingMantua: Low, mostly inland flooding MantuaWoodburnFairfaxMerrifieldLong Branch
Very lowLowModerateHighVery high
Mantuamostly inland floodingLow
Fairfaxmostly inland floodingVery low
Long Branchmostly inland floodingVery low
Woodburnmostly inland floodingVery low
Merrifieldmostly inland floodingVery low
About these numbers

How to read this page

An average, not a forecastFEMA’s National Risk Index estimates the damage 18 kinds of natural hazards cause in a typical year, from decades of records and models. A quiet decade can follow a bad year.
Compared by rate“Higher than N%” compares yearly damage as a share of what’s here, so a big city isn’t rated riskier just for having more buildings. Mantua covers 1 census tract, combined by population.
Money that reached townFlood claims are matched to Mantua’s own flood-insurance community (here, the census tracts inside it); household aid to the registrant’s city; repair grants to Mantua. FEMA’s model follows property values, so a place that recently lost many homes can rate lower than it feels.

FEMA’s expected losses across Mantua total about $1.5M a year, counting buildings, people and crops.

Sources: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025); OpenFEMA: NFIP redacted claims, multiple-loss properties, community status book and residential penetration rates, housing assistance (owners and renters), public assistance funded projects, hazard mitigation properties and disaster declarations. Census tracts: U.S. Census Bureau.

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Boundary source: https://tigerweb.geo.census.gov/arcgis/rest/services/TIGERweb/Places_CouSub_ConCity_SubMCD/MapServer/19 · 2025-01-01