Natural hazards · Dranesville

Dranesville, VA natural hazards

Most of the natural-hazard damage FEMA expects in Dranesville comes from inland flooding, and overall the risk is low for a U.S. community. Flood insurance has paid 2 claims here since 2011.

FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025 · OpenFEMA claims, aid & declarations
Expected damage

How exposed is Dranesville?

29
Low
vs. U.S. communities

FEMA expects yearly storm and flood damage to homes and buildings in Dranesville to be higher than in 29% of U.S. communities, mostly from inland flooding.

Inland flooding78%Hurricanes8%Everything else14%
By hazard

What Dranesville faces

Each hazard’s share of the damage FEMA expects here, and how that compares with the rest of the country.

Inland flooding

78% of expected damage
Above average · higher than 53% of U.S. places
Recorded about 6 times a year in the area

Hurricanes

8% of expected damage
Above average · higher than 74% of U.S. places
Recorded about once every 10 years in the area

Lower here

TornadoesHailIce stormsWinter weatherCold wavesHeat wavesWildfireEarthquakesLandslidesStrong windLightning

Not a risk here

Coastal floodingDroughtAvalanchesTsunamisVolcanic activity
Flood risk changes street by street. Check a specific address on FEMA’s flood map, and ask about flood insurance before you buy.
Flood insurance claims

Does Dranesville flood?

Every paid claim on a federal flood insurance policy in Dranesville, from FEMA’s records.

2paid claims since 2011
$6Kpaid to owners
0homes flooded more than once
20112026
of homes in flood zones
are insured
of all homes
are insured
No community discount. Dranesville isn’t in FEMA’s Community Rating System, which cuts flood insurance up to 45% in towns that do extra flood-proofing.
Insurance rates: Fairfax County.
Disasters that hit Dranesville

Federal disasters declared here

None of the disasters declared for Fairfax County shows FEMA aid or repair money reaching Dranesville itself in FEMA’s records.

Brought FEMA money into DranesvilleDeclared for Fairfax County only
Fairfax County has had 17 natural disasters declared since 1953, most often winter storms and hurricanes.
Around Dranesville

Dranesville and the towns around it

Reston: Very low, mostly inland floodingHerndon: Very low, mostly inland floodingGreat Falls: Low, mostly inland floodingDifficult Run: Very low, mostly inland floodingWolf Trap: Low, mostly inland floodingGreat Falls Crossing: Very low, mostly inland floodingMcNair: Very low, mostly inland floodingFranklin Farm: Low, mostly inland floodingHutchison: Very low, mostly inland floodingOak Grove: Very low, mostly inland floodingMcLean: Very low, mostly inland floodingTravilah: Very low, mostly inland floodingPotomac: Very low, mostly inland floodingDarnestown: Very low, mostly inland floodingDranesville: Low, mostly inland flooding DranesvilleRestonHerndonGreat Falls
Very lowLowModerateHighVery high
Dranesvillemostly inland floodingLow
Great Fallsmostly inland floodingLow
Restonmostly inland floodingVery low
Herndonmostly inland floodingVery low
About these numbers

How to read this page

An average, not a forecastFEMA’s National Risk Index estimates the damage 18 kinds of natural hazards cause in a typical year, from decades of records and models. A quiet decade can follow a bad year.
Compared by rate“Higher than N%” compares yearly damage as a share of what’s here, so a big city isn’t rated riskier just for having more buildings. Dranesville covers 3 census tracts, combined by population.
Money that reached townFlood claims are matched to Dranesville’s own flood-insurance community (here, the census tracts inside it); household aid to the registrant’s city; repair grants to Dranesville. FEMA’s model follows property values, so a place that recently lost many homes can rate lower than it feels.

FEMA’s expected losses across Dranesville total about $3.2M a year, counting buildings, people and crops.

Sources: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025); OpenFEMA: NFIP redacted claims, multiple-loss properties, community status book and residential penetration rates, housing assistance (owners and renters), public assistance funded projects, hazard mitigation properties and disaster declarations. Census tracts: U.S. Census Bureau.

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Boundary source: https://tigerweb.geo.census.gov/arcgis/rest/services/TIGERweb/Places_CouSub_ConCity_SubMCD/MapServer/19 · 2025-01-01