Natural hazards · Aubrey

Aubrey, TX natural hazards

Most of the natural-hazard damage FEMA expects in Aubrey comes from tornadoes, and overall the risk is low for a U.S. community. 5 federal disasters brought FEMA money into town.

FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025 · OpenFEMA claims, aid & declarations

Expected damage

How exposed is Aubrey?

Low

vs. U.S. communities

FEMA expects yearly storm and flood damage to homes and buildings in Aubrey to be higher than in 28% of U.S. communities, mostly from tornadoes and inland flooding.

Tornadoes40%Inland flooding26%Hail16%Wildfire7%Everything else12%

By hazard

What Aubrey faces

Each hazard’s share of the damage FEMA expects here, and how that compares with the rest of the country.

Tornadoes

40% of expected damage

Well above average · higher than 93% of U.S. places

Recorded about once every 62 years in the area

Inland flooding

26% of expected damage

Well below average · higher than 7% of U.S. places

Recorded about 3 times a year in the area

Hail

16% of expected damage

Well above average · higher than 97% of U.S. places

Recorded about 10 times a year in the area

Wildfire

7% of expected damage

Well above average · higher than 94% of U.S. places

Lower here

HurricanesIce stormsWinter weatherCold wavesHeat wavesEarthquakesLandslidesStrong windLightningDrought

Not a risk here

Coastal floodingAvalanchesTsunamisVolcanic activity

Flood risk changes street by street. Check a specific address on FEMA’s flood map, and ask about flood insurance before you buy.

Flood insurance claims

Does Aubrey flood?

FEMA's records show no paid flood insurance claims in Aubrey.

of homes in flood zones
are insured

of all homes
are insured

No community discount. Aubrey isn’t in FEMA’s Community Rating System, which cuts flood insurance up to 45% in towns that do extra flood-proofing.

Insurance rates: Denton County.

What’s been done with FEMA grants

5storm safe rooms built

Disasters that hit Aubrey

5 federal disasters brought FEMA money here

Disasters the President declared that paid out in Aubrey itself: aid to households, or repair grants to the City of Aubrey.

Brought FEMA money into AubreyDeclared for Denton County only

2024

Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, and Flooding

198 households applied for aid $211K aid approved

2021

Severe Winter Storms

358 households applied for aid $104K aid approved

2015

Severe Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds and Flooding

29 households applied for aid $15K aid approved

2007

Severe Storms, Tornadoes, and Flooding

14 households applied for aid $9K aid approved

2007

Severe Storms and Tornadoes

20 households applied for aid $59K aid approved

Denton County has had 19 natural disasters declared since 1953, most often severe storms and fires.

Around Aubrey

Aubrey and the towns around it

Very lowLowModerateHighVery high

Little Elmmostly tornadoesModerate

Krugervillemostly tornadoesLow

Aubreymostly tornadoesLow

Pilot Pointmostly tornadoesLow

About these numbers

How to read this page

An average, not a forecastFEMA’s National Risk Index estimates the damage 18 kinds of natural hazards cause in a typical year, from decades of records and models. A quiet decade can follow a bad year.

Compared by rate“Higher than N%” compares yearly damage as a share of what’s here, so a big city isn’t rated riskier just for having more buildings. Aubrey is smaller than a census tract, so it shares the figures of the tract around its center.

Money that reached townFlood claims are matched to Aubrey’s own flood-insurance community; household aid to the registrant’s city; repair grants to the City of Aubrey. FEMA’s model follows property values, so a place that recently lost many homes can rate lower than it feels.

Sources: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025); OpenFEMA: NFIP redacted claims, multiple-loss properties, community status book and residential penetration rates, housing assistance (owners and renters), public assistance funded projects, hazard mitigation properties and disaster declarations. Census tracts: U.S. Census Bureau.