Natural hazards · Central

Central, TN natural hazards

Most of the natural-hazard damage FEMA expects in Central comes from inland flooding, and overall the risk is moderate for a U.S. community. Flood insurance has paid 3 claims here since 1999.

FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025 · OpenFEMA claims, aid & declarations
Expected damage

How exposed is Central?

44
Moderate
vs. U.S. communities

FEMA expects yearly storm and flood damage to homes and buildings in Central to be higher than in 44% of U.S. communities, mostly from inland flooding.

Inland flooding64%Strong wind11%Earthquakes9%Tornadoes6%Cold waves6%Everything else5%
By hazard

What Central faces

Each hazard’s share of the damage FEMA expects here, and how that compares with the rest of the country.

Inland flooding

64% of expected damage
Above average · higher than 68% of U.S. places
Recorded about once a year in the area

Strong wind

11% of expected damage
Above average · higher than 62% of U.S. places
Recorded about 3 times a year in the area

Earthquakes

9% of expected damage
Above average · higher than 73% of U.S. places

Tornadoes

6% of expected damage
Above average · higher than 50% of U.S. places

Cold waves

6% of expected damage
Above average · higher than 60% of U.S. places
Recorded about once a year in the area

Lower here

HurricanesHailIce stormsWinter weatherHeat wavesWildfireLandslidesLightning

Not a risk here

Coastal floodingDroughtAvalanchesTsunamisVolcanic activity
Flood risk changes street by street. Check a specific address on FEMA’s flood map, and ask about flood insurance before you buy.
Flood insurance claims

Does Central flood?

Every paid claim on a federal flood insurance policy in Central, from FEMA’s records.

3paid claims since 1999
$57Kpaid to owners
0homes flooded more than once
19992026

Biggest named events

  • Hurricane Helene: 1 claim, $45K
of homes in flood zones
are insured
of all homes
are insured
No community discount. Central isn’t in FEMA’s Community Rating System, which cuts flood insurance up to 45% in towns that do extra flood-proofing.
Insurance rates: Carter County.
Disasters that hit Central

Federal disasters declared here

None of the disasters declared for Carter County shows FEMA aid or repair money reaching Central itself in FEMA’s records.

Brought FEMA money into CentralDeclared for Carter County only
Carter County has had 14 natural disasters declared since 1953, most often severe storms and floods.
Around Central

Central and the towns around it

Elizabethton: Moderate, mostly inland floodingJohnson City: Very low, mostly inland floodingPine Crest: Very low, mostly inland floodingHunter: High, mostly inland floodingBiltmore: Low, mostly inland floodingValley Forge: Very high, mostly inland floodingGray: Low, mostly inland floodingOak Grove: High, mostly inland floodingSpurgeon: High, mostly inland floodingWatauga: Low, mostly inland floodingCentral: Moderate, mostly inland flooding CentralElizabethtonJohnson City
Very lowLowModerateHighVery high
Elizabethtonmostly inland floodingModerate
Centralmostly inland floodingModerate
Johnson Citymostly inland floodingVery low
About these numbers

How to read this page

An average, not a forecastFEMA’s National Risk Index estimates the damage 18 kinds of natural hazards cause in a typical year, from decades of records and models. A quiet decade can follow a bad year.
Compared by rate“Higher than N%” compares yearly damage as a share of what’s here, so a big city isn’t rated riskier just for having more buildings. Central covers 1 census tract, combined by population.
Money that reached townFlood claims are matched to Central’s own flood-insurance community (here, the census tracts inside it); household aid to the registrant’s city; repair grants to Central. FEMA’s model follows property values, so a place that recently lost many homes can rate lower than it feels.

FEMA’s expected losses across Central total about $499K a year, counting buildings, people and crops.

Sources: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025); OpenFEMA: NFIP redacted claims, multiple-loss properties, community status book and residential penetration rates, housing assistance (owners and renters), public assistance funded projects, hazard mitigation properties and disaster declarations. Census tracts: U.S. Census Bureau.

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Boundary source: https://tigerweb.geo.census.gov/arcgis/rest/services/TIGERweb/Places_CouSub_ConCity_SubMCD/MapServer/19 · 2025-01-01