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Natural hazards in Shirley · FEMA

Shirley is calmer than 84% of U.S. communities

Most of the natural-hazard damage FEMA expects in Shirley comes from inland flooding, and overall the risk is very low for a U.S. community. Flood insurance has paid 20 claims here since 2005.

16Very low riskLowerHigherExpected storm and flood damage, vs. U.S. communities
Overall risk
Very low
higher than 16% of U.S. places
Main hazard
Inland flooding
63% of expected damage
Flood claims
20
paid since 2005 · $309K
Disasters paid out here
0
of 28 declared for Suffolk County
Expected yearly loss
$3.2M
buildings, people and crops

What stands out about Shirley’s weather risks

Read from FEMA’s records below. The page puts what stands out first.

★ What stands out · Expected damage

How exposed is Shirley?

FEMA expects yearly storm and flood damage to homes and buildings here to be higher than in 16% of U.S. communities, mostly from inland flooding.

Where Shirley sits
Shirley
Very lowLowModerateHighVery high

Calmer than 1,211 of the 1,524 New York towns we cover.

Shirley covers 5 census tracts, combined by population.

What drives the damage
Inland flooding63%Hurricanes12%Earthquakes9%Cold waves6%Everything else10%
By hazard

What Shirley faces

Each hazard’s share of the damage FEMA expects here, and how it compares with the rest of the country.

Inland flooding

63%of expected damage
Below average · higher than 28% of U.S. places
Recorded about 4 times a year in the area

Hurricanes

12%of expected damage
Well above average · higher than 80% of U.S. places
Recorded about once every 5 years in the area

Earthquakes

9%of expected damage
Above average · higher than 61% of U.S. places

Cold waves

6%of expected damage
Well below average · higher than 19% of U.S. places
Recorded about once every 2 years in the area
Lower here
🌊 Coastal flooding🌪️ Tornadoes🧊 Hail🧊 Ice storms❄️ Winter weather🌡️ Heat waves🔥 Wildfire⛰️ Landslides💨 Strong wind⚡ Lightning
Not a risk here
DroughtAvalanchesTsunamisVolcanic activity
Flood risk changes street by street. Check a specific address on FEMA’s flood map, and ask about flood insurance before you buy.
Flood insurance claims

Does Shirley flood? Sometimes: 20 flood claims since 2005

Every paid claim on a federal flood insurance policy in Shirley, from FEMA’s records.

Paid flood claims, by year
2005: 2 claims2006: 0 claims2007: 0 claims2008: 0 claims2009: 0 claims2010: 2 claims2011: 1 claim2012: 8 claims2013: 0 claims2014: 0 claims2015: 0 claims2016: 0 claims2017: 0 claims2018: 0 claims2019: 0 claims2020: 0 claims2021: 0 claims2022: 4 claims2023: 1 claim2024: 2 claims2025: 0 claims2026: 0 claims 200520122022
20052026
Biggest named events
  • Hurricane Sandy8 claims · $205K
  • The March 2010 nor’easter2 claims · $32K
  • The Torrential rain2 claims · $14K
20
paid claims since 2005
$309K
paid to owners
0
homes flooded more than once
$15K
average claim
of homes in flood zones are insured
of all homes are insured
No community discount

Shirley isn’t in FEMA’s Community Rating System, which cuts flood insurance up to 45% in towns that do extra flood-proofing.

Insurance rates: Suffolk County.
Storms remembered

Federal disasters declared here

None of the disasters declared for Suffolk County shows FEMA aid or repair money reaching Shirley itself in FEMA’s records.

Disasters declared, by decade
Paid out in ShirleySuffolk County only

Suffolk County has had 28 natural disasters declared since 1953, most often hurricanes and severe storms.

Be ready

Get ready for what Shirley actually faces

A short kit for its top hazards, what to check before you buy, and where neighbors get alerts.

When the river rises
  • Turn around at flooded roads: a foot of moving water can carry off a car.
  • Flood insurance usually takes 30 days to start, so buy it before the forecast.
  • Keep papers and medicines up high, in a grab-and-go bag.
More from Ready.gov ↗
Hurricane season
  • The season runs June through November and peaks from mid-August to mid-October.
  • Bring in porch furniture and anything the wind can throw.
  • Fill the gas tank and charge phones before the storm arrives.
More from Ready.gov ↗
Earthquakes
  • Drop, cover and hold on.
  • Strap tall furniture and the water heater to the wall.
  • Know how to shut off the gas.
More from Ready.gov ↗
Before you buy or rent
  • Look up the address on FEMA’s flood map.
  • Ask the seller or landlord whether it has ever flooded, and what flood insurance costs there.
  • Get a flood insurance quote early: policies usually start 30 days after you buy.
When a storm is coming
Forecast and alertsWeather →911, the nearest ERSafety →

Know where neighbors sign up for alerts? Add it to the Handbook so everyone has it.

Storm season

Most disasters here begin in August–September

The month each of Suffolk County’s 28 declared disasters began, since 1953.

1J
2F
4M
1A
1M
J
J
7A
6S
2O
1N
3D
HurricanesSevere stormsWinter stormsFloodsDroughtsFires
How to read this page

What these numbers can and can’t tell you

  • An average, not a forecast. FEMA’s National Risk Index estimates the damage 18 kinds of natural hazards cause in a typical year, from decades of records and models. A quiet decade can follow a bad year.
  • Compared by rate. “Higher than N%” compares yearly damage as a share of what’s there, so a big city isn’t rated riskier just for having more buildings.
  • Money that reached town. Flood claims are matched to Shirley’s own flood-insurance community (here, the census tracts inside it); household aid to the registrant’s city; repair grants to Shirley.
  • It follows property value. FEMA’s model weighs damage to buildings, so a place that recently lost many homes can rate lower than it feels. Across Shirley, expected losses total about $3.2M a year, counting buildings, people and crops.

Storm stories

Memories, warnings and help from neighbors in Shirley.

Town Square →
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Sources: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025); OpenFEMA: NFIP redacted claims, multiple-loss properties, community status book and residential penetration rates, housing assistance (owners and renters), public assistance funded projects, hazard mitigation properties and disaster declarations. Census tracts: U.S. Census Bureau. Preparedness tips: Ready.gov. An average of past damage, not a forecast.

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