Natural hazards · Valrico

Valrico, FL natural hazards

Most of the natural-hazard damage FEMA expects in Valrico comes from inland flooding, and overall the risk is high for a U.S. community. Flood insurance has paid 38 claims here since 1979. 10 federal disasters brought FEMA money into town.

FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025 · OpenFEMA claims, aid & declarations
Expected damage

How exposed is Valrico?

77
High
vs. U.S. communities

FEMA expects yearly storm and flood damage to homes and buildings in Valrico to be higher than in 77% of U.S. communities, mostly from inland flooding and hurricanes.

Inland flooding45%Hurricanes28%Tornadoes13%Cold waves9%Everything else5%
By hazard

What Valrico faces

Each hazard’s share of the damage FEMA expects here, and how that compares with the rest of the country.

Inland flooding

45% of expected damage
Well above average · higher than 78% of U.S. places
Recorded about 2 times a year in the area

Hurricanes

28% of expected damage
Well above average · higher than 91% of U.S. places
Recorded about once every 4 years in the area

Tornadoes

13% of expected damage
Above average · higher than 70% of U.S. places

Cold waves

9% of expected damage
Well above average · higher than 85% of U.S. places
Recorded about 4 times a year in the area

Lower here

Coastal floodingHailHeat wavesWildfireEarthquakesLandslidesStrong windLightningDrought

Not a risk here

Ice stormsWinter weatherAvalanchesTsunamisVolcanic activity
Flood risk changes street by street. Check a specific address on FEMA’s flood map, and ask about flood insurance before you buy.
Flood insurance claims

Does Valrico flood?

Every paid claim on a federal flood insurance policy in Valrico, from FEMA’s records.

38paid claims since 1979
$2.8Mpaid to owners
0homes flooded more than once
19792026

Biggest named events

  • Hurricane Milton: 18 claims, $1.5M
  • Hurricane Irma: 7 claims, $496K
  • Hurricane Debby: 3 claims, $504K
of homes in flood zones
are insured
of all homes
are insured
No community discount. Valrico isn’t in FEMA’s Community Rating System, which cuts flood insurance up to 45% in towns that do extra flood-proofing.
Insurance rates: Hillsborough County.
Disasters that hit Valrico

10 federal disasters brought FEMA money here

Disasters the President declared that paid out in Valrico itself: aid to households, or repair grants to Valrico.

Brought FEMA money into ValricoDeclared for Hillsborough County only
2024

Hurricane Milton

8,579 households applied for aid $3.6M aid approved
2024

Hurricane Helene

1,289 households applied for aid $954K aid approved
2024

Hurricane Debby

131 households applied for aid $117K aid approved
2023

Hurricane Idalia

120 households applied for aid $14K aid approved
2022

Hurricane Ian

3,139 households applied for aid $1.3M aid approved
2017

Hurricane Irma

3,183 households applied for aid $986K aid approved
2016

Hurricane Hermine

23 households applied for aid $7K aid approved
2012

Tropical Storm Debby

9 households applied for aid $5K aid approved
2004

Hurricane Jeanne

523 households applied for aid $425K aid approved
2004

Hurricane Frances

279 households applied for aid $410K aid approved
Hillsborough County has had 41 natural disasters declared since 1953, most often hurricanes and severe storms.
Around Valrico

Valrico and the towns around it

Fish Hawk: High, mostly inland floodingBloomingdale: High, mostly inland floodingBrandon: High, mostly hurricanesRiverview: High, mostly inland floodingMango: Moderate, mostly hurricanesPalm River-Clair Mel: Moderate, mostly hurricanesSeffner: Moderate, mostly hurricanesEast Lake-Orient Park: High, mostly hurricanesValrico: High, mostly inland flooding ValricoFish HawkBloomingdaleBrandon
Very lowLowModerateHighVery high
Valricomostly inland floodingHigh
Fish Hawkmostly inland floodingHigh
Bloomingdalemostly inland floodingHigh
Brandonmostly hurricanesHigh
About these numbers

How to read this page

An average, not a forecastFEMA’s National Risk Index estimates the damage 18 kinds of natural hazards cause in a typical year, from decades of records and models. A quiet decade can follow a bad year.
Compared by rate“Higher than N%” compares yearly damage as a share of what’s here, so a big city isn’t rated riskier just for having more buildings. Valrico covers 7 census tracts, combined by population.
Money that reached townFlood claims are matched to Valrico’s own flood-insurance community (here, the census tracts inside it); household aid to the registrant’s city; repair grants to Valrico. FEMA’s model follows property values, so a place that recently lost many homes can rate lower than it feels.

FEMA’s expected losses across Valrico total about $14.7M a year, counting buildings, people and crops.

Sources: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025); OpenFEMA: NFIP redacted claims, multiple-loss properties, community status book and residential penetration rates, housing assistance (owners and renters), public assistance funded projects, hazard mitigation properties and disaster declarations. Census tracts: U.S. Census Bureau.

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Boundary source: https://tigerweb.geo.census.gov/arcgis/rest/services/TIGERweb/Places_CouSub_ConCity_SubMCD/MapServer/19 · 2025-01-01