Natural hazards · Flagstaff

Flagstaff, AZ natural hazards

Most of the natural-hazard damage FEMA expects in Flagstaff comes from inland flooding, and overall the risk is very high for a U.S. community. Flood insurance has paid 56 claims here since 1979. 3 federal disasters brought FEMA money into town.

FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025 · OpenFEMA claims, aid & declarations
Expected damage

How exposed is Flagstaff?

86
Very high
vs. U.S. communities

FEMA expects yearly storm and flood damage to homes and buildings in Flagstaff to be higher than in 86% of U.S. communities, mostly from inland flooding.

Inland flooding77%Wildfire8%Everything else16%
By hazard

What Flagstaff faces

Each hazard’s share of the damage FEMA expects here, and how that compares with the rest of the country.

Inland flooding

77% of expected damage
Well above average · higher than 94% of U.S. places
Recorded about 8 times a year in the area

Wildfire

8% of expected damage
Well above average · higher than 98% of U.S. places

Lower here

TornadoesHailIce stormsWinter weatherCold wavesHeat wavesEarthquakesLandslidesStrong windLightningAvalanchesVolcanic activity

Not a risk here

Coastal floodingHurricanesDroughtTsunamis
Flood risk changes street by street. Check a specific address on FEMA’s flood map, and ask about flood insurance before you buy.
Flood insurance claims

Does Flagstaff flood?

Every paid claim on a federal flood insurance policy in Flagstaff, from FEMA’s records.

56paid claims since 1979
$1.2Mpaid to owners
5homes flooded more than once
19792026

Homes that flooded again and again

■ FEMA “severe repetitive loss” (0) ■ flooded 2+ times

of homes in flood zones
are insured
of all homes
are insured
🏷️ 25% off flood insurance. Flagstaff is in FEMA’s Community Rating System (class 5) for its flood-proofing work.
Insurance rates: Coconino County.

What’s been done with FEMA grants

1flood-prone properties bought out and cleared
Disasters that hit Flagstaff

3 federal disasters brought FEMA money here

Disasters the President declared that paid out in Flagstaff itself: aid to households, or repair grants to the City of Flagstaff.

Brought FEMA money into FlagstaffDeclared for Coconino County only
2010

Severe Storms and Flooding

$2.4M to the City of Flagstaff for repairs
2010

Severe Winter Storms and Flooding

$26K to the City of Flagstaff for repairs
2004

Severe Storms and Flooding

$364K to the City of Flagstaff for repairs
Coconino County has had 22 natural disasters declared since 1953, most often fires and floods.
Around Flagstaff

Flagstaff and the towns around it

Fort Valley: High, mostly inland floodingDoney Park: Very high, mostly inland floodingBellemont: Very high, mostly wildfiresMountain View Ranches: Very high, mostly inland floodingTimberline-Fernwood: Very high, mostly inland floodingFlagstaff: Very high, mostly inland flooding FlagstaffFort ValleyDoney Park
Very lowLowModerateHighVery high
Doney Parkmostly inland floodingVery high
Flagstaffmostly inland floodingVery high
Fort Valleymostly inland floodingHigh
About these numbers

How to read this page

An average, not a forecastFEMA’s National Risk Index estimates the damage 18 kinds of natural hazards cause in a typical year, from decades of records and models. A quiet decade can follow a bad year.
Compared by rate“Higher than N%” compares yearly damage as a share of what’s here, so a big city isn’t rated riskier just for having more buildings. Flagstaff covers 16 census tracts, combined by population.
Money that reached townFlood claims are matched to Flagstaff’s own flood-insurance community; household aid to the registrant’s city; repair grants to the City of Flagstaff. FEMA’s model follows property values, so a place that recently lost many homes can rate lower than it feels.

FEMA’s expected losses across Flagstaff total about $61.6M a year, counting buildings, people and crops.

Sources: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025); OpenFEMA: NFIP redacted claims, multiple-loss properties, community status book and residential penetration rates, housing assistance (owners and renters), public assistance funded projects, hazard mitigation properties and disaster declarations. Census tracts: U.S. Census Bureau.

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Boundary source: https://tigerweb.geo.census.gov/arcgis/rest/services/TIGERweb/Places_CouSub_ConCity_SubMCD/MapServer/18 · 2025-01-01