Climate · Carefree

Carefree, AZ climate

Carefree has warm winters and scorching summers, with very little rain. A typical July afternoon reaches 102°, a January night drops to 42°, and snow is almost unheard of.

NOAA 1991-2020 climate normals Updated once a decade
July high
102°
154th hottest of 467 Arizona towns
January low
42°
38th mildest of 467 Arizona towns
Rain + melted snow
13 in
155th wettest of 467 Arizona towns
Snow a winter
0.0 in
157th least snowy of 359 Arizona towns
A normal year

What a year in Carefree feels like

Winter

65° / 43°
Typical high / low · Snow is rare

Spring

81° / 55°
Typical high / low · Last frost around Feb 4

Summer

101° / 75°
Typical high / low · 153 days reach 90° in a normal year

Fall

84° / 60°
Typical high / low · First frost around Dec 16
Best months to be outsideJanFebMarAprNovDecHighs of 62–84° and lows of 40° or more
Month by month

Carefree weather by month

Average highs, lows, rain and snow for every month, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 normals.

MonthHighLowRain + meltSnowWet daysSnow on ground30-yr range
January64°42°1.7" 050 49° – 59°
February67°44°1.7" 050 49° – 61°
March73°49°1.6" 040 53° – 68°
April80°54°0.4" 020 61° – 72°
May89°61°0.2" 020 69° – 81°
June99°70°0.1" 010 80° – 89°
July102°77°1.0" 040 86° – 92°
August101°77°1.7" 050 85° – 93°
September95°71°1.1" 030 78° – 86°
October85°60°0.9" 030 69° – 77°
November72°50°0.9" 030 53° – 67°
December63°42°1.4" 040 49° – 57°
Year82°58°12.8"0.0"380

“Wet days” have at least 0.01" of rain or melted snow. “Snow on ground” counts days with 1" or more. The 30-year range is the coldest and warmest that month’s average temperature got between 1991 and 2020.

Rain & snow

Rain and snow in Carefree

Carefree gets 13 inches of rain and melted snow a year. January is the wettest month and June the driest. Rain or snow falls on about 38 days a year.

13 in
Rain + melted snow a year
Less rain than 96% of U.S. towns
0.0 in
Snow in a normal winter
Less snow than 96% of U.S. towns
0 days
With 1"+ of snow on the ground
Fewer than 94% of U.S. towns

Rain + melted snow by month

Inches of water
1.7"

Snowfall by month

No measurable snow in a normal year.
Frost & the growing season

About 313 frost-free days a year

In half of years the last 32° night comes by February 4 and the first one by December 16. That leaves about 313 frost-free days for gardens, longer than 95% of U.S. towns.

6
nights at or below 32° in a normal year
0
nights below 0° in a normal year
153
days that reach 90° in a normal year

Freezing nights by month

Average nights at or below 32°

90° days by month

Average days at 90° or more
Heating & cooling

Heating and cooling a home in Carefree

Engineers use “degree days” to estimate how hard a furnace or air conditioner works. In Carefree, 29% of that work is heating and 71% is cooling, so air conditioning is the bigger bill.

29%heating
1,427 heating degree daysLess heating than 95% of U.S. towns
3,512 cooling degree daysMore cooling than 98% of U.S. towns

Degree days measure how far each day’s average temperature falls below or rises above 65°, added up over a year. Source: NOAA station normals.

Around Carefree

Carefree and its neighbors

Carefree borders 2 towns with climate data. January nights across them vary by 3.5°. Cave Creek has both the coldest January nights (41°) and the hottest July afternoons (103°). Carefree’s January low is 42° and its July high 102°.

Phoenix: January low 42°, July high 105°Fountain Hills: January low 43°, July high 104°Paradise Valley: January low 42°, July high 105°Tempe: January low 41°, July high 106°New River: January low 42°, July high 103°Scottsdale: January low 44°, July high 103°Cave Creek: January low 41°, July high 103°Carefree: January low 42°, July high 102° CarefreeScottsdaleCave Creek
ColderMilder41° to 44°
Cave Creek40.6° −1.7°
Carefree42.3°
Scottsdale44.1° +1.8°

Temperatures and rain come from NOAA’s 5 km grid, so each town gets its own value.

Compared with other towns

How Carefree compares

Summer heat102° July high
Hotter than 100% of U.S. towns154th hottest of 467 Arizona towns
Winter cold42° January low
Milder than 95% of U.S. towns38th mildest of 467 Arizona towns
Precipitation13" a year
Drier than 96% of U.S. towns155th wettest of 467 Arizona towns
Snow0.0" a winter
Less snow than 96% of U.S. towns157th least snowy of 359 Arizona towns
Growing season313 frost-free days
Longer than 95% of U.S. towns87th longest of 412 Arizona towns

Compared with every U.S. town and city on TownTapestry, each counted once.

Then and now

Warmer than it used to be

+2.2°1991–2020 average vs. the 20th century (1901–2000)

The last 30 years in Carefree averaged 2.2° warmer than the 1900s. The biggest change is in March (+3.1°). The shift is larger than in 97% of U.S. towns.

❄️ Winter+1.8° now 54°, was 52°
🌷 Spring+2.5° now 68°, was 65°
☀️ Summer+2.2° now 88°, was 85°
🍂 Fall+2.1° now 72°, was 70°

Change by month1991–2020 average minus 1901–2000 average, at Carefree’s spot on NOAA’s grid

Year to year

How much a month can swing

A normal is an average, and real years wander around it. March swings the most: between 1991 and 2020 its average temperature ranged from 53° to 68°. July is the most reliable, staying within 6°.

Coldest to warmest month in 30 yearsNormal
Questions

Common questions about Carefree’s climate

What is the coldest month in Carefree?

December, with a typical high of 63° and a low of 42°.

What is the hottest month in Carefree?

July, with a typical high of 102° and a low of 77°. About 153 days a year reach 90°.

How much snow does Carefree get?

Almost none. A normal year brings 0.0 inches.

When is the first frost in Carefree?

In half of years the first 32° night comes by December 16, and the last spring frost by February 4.

What is the rainiest month in Carefree?

January, with 1.7 inches of rain and melted snow. The year totals 13 inches.

Temperatures and rainfall come from NOAA’s gridded climate normals for Carefree itself (about a 3-mile square). Snow, frost dates and day counts come from NOAA’s weather station at Carefree, AZ (1 mi) away. Normals are 30-year averages, not a forecast. Source: NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991–2020 and 1901–2000.

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