Natural hazards · Lincolnia

Lincolnia, VA natural hazards

Most of the natural-hazard damage FEMA expects in Lincolnia comes from inland flooding, and overall the risk is very low for a U.S. community. Flood insurance has paid 17 claims here since 1979.

FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025 · OpenFEMA claims, aid & declarations

Expected damage

How exposed is Lincolnia?

Very low

vs. U.S. communities

FEMA expects yearly storm and flood damage to homes and buildings in Lincolnia to be higher than in 9% of U.S. communities, mostly from inland flooding.

Inland flooding60%Hurricanes11%Earthquakes9%Heat waves8%Everything else13%

By hazard

What Lincolnia faces

Each hazard’s share of the damage FEMA expects here, and how that compares with the rest of the country.

Inland flooding

60% of expected damage

Well below average · higher than 19% of U.S. places

Recorded about 6 times a year in the area

Hurricanes

11% of expected damage

Above average · higher than 74% of U.S. places

Recorded about once every 10 years in the area

Earthquakes

9% of expected damage

Above average · higher than 53% of U.S. places

Heat waves

8% of expected damage

Below average · higher than 49% of U.S. places

Recorded about 6 times a year in the area

Lower here

TornadoesHailIce stormsWinter weatherCold wavesWildfireLandslidesStrong windLightning

Not a risk here

Coastal floodingDroughtAvalanchesTsunamisVolcanic activity

Flood risk changes street by street. Check a specific address on FEMA’s flood map, and ask about flood insurance before you buy.

Flood insurance claims

Does Lincolnia flood?

Every paid claim on a federal flood insurance policy in Lincolnia, from FEMA’s records.

17paid claims since 1979

$147Kpaid to owners

0homes flooded more than once

19792026

Biggest named events

Mid-spring storms: 1 claim, $9K
Hurricane Irene: 1 claim, $10K
Tropical Storm Bill: 1 claim, $3K

of homes in flood zones
are insured

of all homes
are insured

No community discount. Lincolnia isn’t in FEMA’s Community Rating System, which cuts flood insurance up to 45% in towns that do extra flood-proofing.

Insurance rates: Fairfax County.

Disasters that hit Lincolnia

Federal disasters declared here

None of the disasters declared for Fairfax County shows FEMA aid or repair money reaching Lincolnia itself in FEMA’s records.

Brought FEMA money into LincolniaDeclared for Fairfax County only

Fairfax County has had 17 natural disasters declared since 1953, most often winter storms and hurricanes.

Around Lincolnia

Lincolnia and the towns around it

Very lowLowModerateHighVery high

Alexandriamostly inland floodingModerate

Annandalemostly inland floodingVery low

Lincolniamostly inland floodingVery low

Franconiamostly inland floodingVery low

Bailey's Crossroadsmostly inland floodingVery low

Springfieldmostly inland floodingVery low

About these numbers

How to read this page

An average, not a forecastFEMA’s National Risk Index estimates the damage 18 kinds of natural hazards cause in a typical year, from decades of records and models. A quiet decade can follow a bad year.

Compared by rate“Higher than N%” compares yearly damage as a share of what’s here, so a big city isn’t rated riskier just for having more buildings. Lincolnia covers 5 census tracts, combined by population.

Money that reached townFlood claims are matched to Lincolnia’s own flood-insurance community (here, the census tracts inside it); household aid to the registrant’s city; repair grants to Lincolnia. FEMA’s model follows property values, so a place that recently lost many homes can rate lower than it feels.

FEMA’s expected losses across Lincolnia total about $3.6M a year, counting buildings, people and crops.

Sources: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025); OpenFEMA: NFIP redacted claims, multiple-loss properties, community status book and residential penetration rates, housing assistance (owners and renters), public assistance funded projects, hazard mitigation properties and disaster declarations. Census tracts: U.S. Census Bureau.