Climate · Lake Monticello

Lake Monticello, VA climate

Lake Monticello has chilly winters and warm summers. A typical July afternoon reaches 88°, a January night drops to 26°, and about 12 inches of snow falls in a normal winter.

NOAA 1991-2020 climate normals Updated once a decade
July high
88°
136th hottest of 700 Virginia towns
January low
26°
350th mildest of 700 Virginia towns
Rain + melted snow
45 in
342nd driest of 700 Virginia towns
Snow a winter
12 in
321st least snowy of 698 Virginia towns
A normal year

What a year in Lake Monticello feels like

Winter

49° / 28°
Typical high / low · 4 days with an inch or more of snow

Spring

69° / 44°
Typical high / low · Last frost around Apr 23

Summer

86° / 64°
Typical high / low · 26 days reach 90° in a normal year

Fall

70° / 46°
Typical high / low · First frost around Oct 21
Best months to be outsideAprMaySepOctHighs of 62–84° and lows of 40° or more
Month by month

Lake Monticello weather by month

Average highs, lows, rain and snow for every month, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 normals.

MonthHighLowRain + meltSnowWet daysSnow on ground30-yr range
January47°26°3.1" 3.7"92 30° – 43°
February51°28°2.7" 4.7"93 30° – 48°
March59°34°3.8" 1.8"101 41° – 57°
April70°44°3.4" 0100 52° – 62°
May77°53°4.3" 0110 61° – 71°
June85°62°4.3" 0100 69° – 77°
July88°66°4.3" 0100 73° – 81°
August87°65°3.8" 090 72° – 78°
September80°58°4.5" 080 65° – 74°
October70°46°3.7" 070 54° – 63°
November59°36°3.4" 0.1"80 42° – 53°
December50°29°3.5" 2.0"91 30° – 50°
Year68°46°44.6"12.3"1108

“Wet days” have at least 0.01" of rain or melted snow. “Snow on ground” counts days with 1" or more. The 30-year range is the coldest and warmest that month’s average temperature got between 1991 and 2020.

Rain & snow

Rain and snow in Lake Monticello

Lake Monticello gets 45 inches of rain and melted snow a year. September is the wettest month and February the driest. Rain or snow falls on about 110 days a year. Snow covers the ground about 8 days of the year.

45 in
Rain + melted snow a year
More rain than 67% of U.S. towns
12 in
Snow in a normal winter
Less snow than 69% of U.S. towns
8 days
With 1"+ of snow on the ground
Fewer than 70% of U.S. towns

Rain + melted snow by month

Inches of water
4.5"

Snowfall by month

Inches of snow
4.7"
Frost & the growing season

About 180 frost-free days a year

In half of years the last 32° night comes by April 23 and the first one by October 21. That leaves about 180 frost-free days for gardens, longer than 53% of U.S. towns.

112
nights at or below 32° in a normal year
<1
nights below 0° in a normal year
26
days that reach 90° in a normal year

Freezing nights by month

Average nights at or below 32°

90° days by month

Average days at 90° or more
Heating & cooling

Heating and cooling a home in Lake Monticello

Engineers use “degree days” to estimate how hard a furnace or air conditioner works. In Lake Monticello, 81% of that work is heating and 19% is cooling, so the furnace matters far more than the air conditioner.

81%heating
4,571 heating degree daysLess heating than 73% of U.S. towns
1,066 cooling degree daysMore cooling than 63% of U.S. towns

Degree days measure how far each day’s average temperature falls below or rises above 65°, added up over a year. Source: NOAA station normals.

Compared with other towns

How Lake Monticello compares

Summer heat88° July high
Hotter than 73% of U.S. towns136th hottest of 700 Virginia towns
Winter cold26° January low
Milder than 75% of U.S. towns350th mildest of 700 Virginia towns
Precipitation45" a year
Wetter than 67% of U.S. towns342nd driest of 700 Virginia towns
Snow12" a winter
Less snow than 69% of U.S. towns321st least snowy of 698 Virginia towns
Growing season180 frost-free days
Longer than 53% of U.S. towns140th shortest of 700 Virginia towns

Compared with every U.S. town and city on TownTapestry, each counted once.

Then and now

Warmer than it used to be

+1.4°1991–2020 average vs. the 20th century (1901–2000)

The last 30 years in Lake Monticello averaged 1.4° warmer than the 1900s. The biggest change is in December (+2.5°). The shift is larger than in 64% of U.S. towns.

❄️ Winter+2.0° now 38°, was 36°
🌷 Spring+1.3° now 56°, was 55°
☀️ Summer+1.2° now 75°, was 74°
🍂 Fall+1.1° now 58°, was 57°

Change by month1991–2020 average minus 1901–2000 average, at Lake Monticello’s spot on NOAA’s grid

Year to year

How much a month can swing

A normal is an average, and real years wander around it. December swings the most: between 1991 and 2020 its average temperature ranged from 30° to 50°. August is the most reliable, staying within 7°.

Coldest to warmest month in 30 yearsNormal
Questions

Common questions about Lake Monticello’s climate

What is the coldest month in Lake Monticello?

January, with a typical high of 47° and a low of 26°.

What is the hottest month in Lake Monticello?

July, with a typical high of 88° and a low of 66°. About 26 days a year reach 90°.

How much snow does Lake Monticello get?

About 12 inches in a normal winter, most of it in February.

When is the first frost in Lake Monticello?

In half of years the first 32° night comes by October 21, and the last spring frost by April 23.

What is the rainiest month in Lake Monticello?

September, with 4.5 inches of rain and melted snow. The year totals 45 inches.

Temperatures and rainfall come from NOAA’s gridded climate normals for Lake Monticello itself (about a 3-mile square). Snow, frost dates and day counts come from NOAA’s weather station at Palmyra 3s, VA (8 mi) away. Normals are 30-year averages, not a forecast. Source: NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991–2020 and 1901–2000.

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