Climate · Lake Caroline

Lake Caroline, VA climate

Lake Caroline has chilly winters and warm summers. A typical July afternoon reaches 89°, a January night drops to 26°, and about 12 inches of snow falls in a normal winter.

NOAA 1991-2020 climate normals Updated once a decade
July high
89°
114th hottest of 700 Virginia towns
January low
26°
306th coldest of 700 Virginia towns
Rain + melted snow
45 in
301st wettest of 700 Virginia towns
Snow a winter
12 in
308th least snowy of 698 Virginia towns
A normal year

What a year in Lake Caroline feels like

Winter

49° / 27°
Typical high / low · 3 days with an inch or more of snow

Spring

69° / 44°
Typical high / low · Last frost around Apr 14

Summer

87° / 65°
Typical high / low · 32 days reach 90° in a normal year

Fall

70° / 46°
Typical high / low · First frost around Oct 27
Best months to be outsideAprMaySepOctHighs of 62–84° and lows of 40° or more
Month by month

Lake Caroline weather by month

Average highs, lows, rain and snow for every month, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 normals.

MonthHighLowRain + meltSnowWet days30-yr range
January47°26°3.3" 3.6"9 29° – 43°
February51°28°2.8" 5.0"8 30° – 47°
March59°34°3.9" 0.9"9 41° – 57°
April70°44°3.4" 0.1"9 52° – 62°
May77°53°4.2" 010 60° – 71°
June85°62°4.3" 010 69° – 79°
July89°67°4.3" 09 73° – 82°
August87°65°4.1" 08 71° – 79°
September80°58°4.5" 08 66° – 74°
October70°46°3.8" 07 54° – 64°
November59°35°3.4" 0.1"7 41° – 52°
December50°29°3.5" 1.8"8 31° – 50°
Year69°45°45.5"11.5"102

“Wet days” have at least 0.01" of rain or melted snow. “Snow on ground” counts days with 1" or more. The 30-year range is the coldest and warmest that month’s average temperature got between 1991 and 2020.

Rain & snow

Rain and snow in Lake Caroline

Lake Caroline gets 45 inches of rain and melted snow a year. September is the wettest month and February the driest. Rain or snow falls on about 102 days a year.

45 in
Rain + melted snow a year
More rain than 71% of U.S. towns
12 in
Snow in a normal winter
Less snow than 70% of U.S. towns
102 days
With rain or snow (0.01"+)

Rain + melted snow by month

Inches of water
4.5"

Snowfall by month

Inches of snow
5.0"
Frost & the growing season

About 195 frost-free days a year

In half of years the last 32° night comes by April 14 and the first one by October 27. That leaves about 195 frost-free days for gardens, longer than 69% of U.S. towns.

93
nights at or below 32° in a normal year
<1
nights below 0° in a normal year
32
days that reach 90° in a normal year

Freezing nights by month

Average nights at or below 32°

90° days by month

Average days at 90° or more
Heating & cooling

Heating and cooling a home in Lake Caroline

Engineers use “degree days” to estimate how hard a furnace or air conditioner works. In Lake Caroline, 77% of that work is heating and 23% is cooling.

77%heating
4,295 heating degree daysLess heating than 76% of U.S. towns
1,252 cooling degree daysMore cooling than 71% of U.S. towns

Degree days measure how far each day’s average temperature falls below or rises above 65°, added up over a year. Source: NOAA station normals.

Compared with other towns

How Lake Caroline compares

Summer heat89° July high
Hotter than 73% of U.S. towns114th hottest of 700 Virginia towns
Winter cold26° January low
Milder than 74% of U.S. towns306th coldest of 700 Virginia towns
Precipitation45" a year
Wetter than 71% of U.S. towns301st wettest of 700 Virginia towns
Snow12" a winter
Less snow than 70% of U.S. towns308th least snowy of 698 Virginia towns
Growing season195 frost-free days
Longer than 69% of U.S. towns323rd shortest of 700 Virginia towns

Compared with every U.S. town and city on TownTapestry, each counted once.

Then and now

Warmer than it used to be

+1.3°1991–2020 average vs. the 20th century (1901–2000)

The last 30 years in Lake Caroline averaged 1.3° warmer than the 1900s. The biggest change is in December (+2.3°). The shift is larger than in 58% of U.S. towns.

❄️ Winter+1.8° now 38°, was 37°
🌷 Spring+1.3° now 56°, was 55°
☀️ Summer+1.2° now 76°, was 74°
🍂 Fall+1.0° now 58°, was 57°

Change by month1991–2020 average minus 1901–2000 average, at Lake Caroline’s spot on NOAA’s grid

Year to year

How much a month can swing

A normal is an average, and real years wander around it. December swings the most: between 1991 and 2020 its average temperature ranged from 31° to 50°. August is the most reliable, staying within 7°.

Coldest to warmest month in 30 yearsNormal
Questions

Common questions about Lake Caroline’s climate

What is the coldest month in Lake Caroline?

January, with a typical high of 47° and a low of 26°.

What is the hottest month in Lake Caroline?

July, with a typical high of 89° and a low of 67°. About 32 days a year reach 90°.

How much snow does Lake Caroline get?

About 12 inches in a normal winter, most of it in February.

When is the first frost in Lake Caroline?

In half of years the first 32° night comes by October 27, and the last spring frost by April 14.

What is the rainiest month in Lake Caroline?

September, with 4.5 inches of rain and melted snow. The year totals 45 inches.

Temperatures and rainfall come from NOAA’s gridded climate normals for Lake Caroline itself (about a 3-mile square). Snow, frost dates and day counts come from NOAA’s weather station at Corbin, VA (17 mi) away. Normals are 30-year averages, not a forecast. Source: NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991–2020 and 1901–2000.

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Boundary source: https://tigerweb.geo.census.gov/arcgis/rest/services/TIGERweb/Places_CouSub_ConCity_SubMCD/MapServer/19 · 2025-01-01