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Natural hazards in Fredericksburg · FEMA

Fredericksburg is calmer than 77% of U.S. communities

Most of the natural-hazard damage FEMA expects in Fredericksburg comes from inland flooding, and overall the risk is low for a U.S. community. Flood insurance has paid 30 claims here since 1979. 8 federal disasters brought FEMA money into town.

23Low riskLowerHigherExpected storm and flood damage, vs. U.S. communities
Overall risk
Low
higher than 23% of U.S. places
Main hazard
Inland flooding
57% of expected damage
Flood claims
30
paid since 1979 · $264K
Disasters paid out here
8
of 17 declared for the county
Expected yearly loss
$6.8M
buildings, people and crops

What stands out about Fredericksburg’s weather risks

Read from FEMA’s records below. The page puts what stands out first.

★ What stands out · Expected damage

How exposed is Fredericksburg?

FEMA expects yearly storm and flood damage to homes and buildings here to be higher than in 23% of U.S. communities, mostly from inland flooding.

Where Fredericksburg sits
Fredericksburg
Very lowLowModerateHighVery high

Calmer than 465 of the 700 Virginia towns we cover.

Fredericksburg covers 7 census tracts, combined by population.

What drives the damage
Inland flooding57%Earthquakes9%Strong wind8%Lightning8%Tornadoes6%Heat waves5%Everything else6%
By hazard

What Fredericksburg faces

Each hazard’s share of the damage FEMA expects here, and how it compares with the rest of the country.

Inland flooding

57%of expected damage
Below average · higher than 35% of U.S. places
Recorded about once a year in the area

Earthquakes

9%of expected damage
Above average · higher than 69% of U.S. places

Strong wind

8%of expected damage
Well above average · higher than 90% of U.S. places
Recorded about 5 times a year in the area

Lightning

8%of expected damage
Below average · higher than 44% of U.S. places

Tornadoes

6%of expected damage
Above average · higher than 53% of U.S. places

Heat waves

5%of expected damage
Above average · higher than 50% of U.S. places
Recorded about 6 times a year in the area
Lower here
🌊 Coastal flooding🌀 Hurricanes🧊 Hail🧊 Ice storms❄️ Winter weather🥶 Cold waves🔥 Wildfire⛰️ Landslides
Not a risk here
DroughtAvalanchesTsunamisVolcanic activity
Flood risk changes street by street. Check a specific address on FEMA’s flood map, and ask about flood insurance before you buy.
Flood insurance claims

Does Fredericksburg flood? Sometimes: 30 flood claims since 1979

Every paid claim on a federal flood insurance policy in Fredericksburg, from FEMA’s records.

Paid flood claims, by year
1979: 4 claims1980: 0 claims1981: 0 claims1982: 0 claims1983: 0 claims1984: 2 claims1985: 1 claim1986: 0 claims1987: 0 claims1988: 0 claims1989: 0 claims1990: 0 claims1991: 0 claims1992: 0 claims1993: 1 claim1994: 0 claims1995: 7 claims1996: 6 claims1997: 0 claims1998: 1 claim1999: 1 claim2000: 0 claims2001: 0 claims2002: 0 claims2003: 0 claims2004: 0 claims2005: 0 claims2006: 0 claims2007: 0 claims2008: 0 claims2009: 0 claims2010: 0 claims2011: 0 claims2012: 0 claims2013: 0 claims2014: 2 claims2015: 0 claims2016: 0 claims2017: 0 claims2018: 4 claims2019: 0 claims2020: 0 claims2021: 0 claims2022: 0 claims2023: 0 claims2024: 1 claim2025: 0 claims2026: 0 claims 197919951996
19792026
Biggest named events
  • Hurricane Fran5 claims · $56K
  • The Mid-spring storms2 claims · $4K
30
paid claims since 1979
$264K
paid to owners
4
homes flooded more than once
$9K
average claim
Homes that flooded again and again
FEMA “severe repetitive loss” (0)Flooded 2+ times
of all homes are insured
No community discount

Fredericksburg isn’t in FEMA’s Community Rating System, which cuts flood insurance up to 45% in towns that do extra flood-proofing.

Insurance rates: the county.
Storms remembered

8 federal disasters brought FEMA money to Fredericksburg

Disasters that paid out in Fredericksburg itself (aid to households or repair grants to the City of Fredericksburg) and its biggest flood years.

  1. 2022Severe Winter Storm and Snowstorm$71K to the City of Fredericksburg for repairs
  2. 2016Severe Winter Storm and Snowstorm$149K to the City of Fredericksburg for repairs
  3. 2012Severe Storms and Straight-Line Winds$56K to the City of Fredericksburg for repairs
  4. 2011Earthquake919 households applied for aid$1.2M aid approved$31K to the City of Fredericksburg for repairs
  5. 2010Severe Winter Storms and Snowstorms$14K to the City of Fredericksburg for repairs
  6. 2009Severe Winter Storm and Snowstorm$136K to the City of Fredericksburg for repairs
Show all 8
  1. 2003Hurricane Isabel357 households applied for aid$278K aid approved$305K to the City of Fredericksburg for repairs
  2. 2000Severe Winter Storms$42K to the City of Fredericksburg for repairs
Disasters declared, by decade
Paid out in Fredericksburgthe county only

the county has had 17 natural disasters declared since 1953, most often winter storms and hurricanes.

Were you here?

Old photos of Fredericksburg after a storm or flood belong in the town’s history. Add one, or share what you remember below.

Add to the Fredericksburg archive →
Be ready

Get ready for what Fredericksburg actually faces

A short kit for its top hazards, what to check before you buy, and where neighbors get alerts.

When the river rises
  • Turn around at flooded roads: a foot of moving water can carry off a car.
  • Flood insurance usually takes 30 days to start, so buy it before the forecast.
  • Keep papers and medicines up high, in a grab-and-go bag.
More from Ready.gov ↗
Earthquakes
  • Drop, cover and hold on.
  • Strap tall furniture and the water heater to the wall.
  • Know how to shut off the gas.
More from Ready.gov ↗
High winds
  • Trim dead limbs over the house and driveway.
  • Tie down trash cans and outdoor furniture.
  • Stay clear of downed lines and call the utility.
More from Ready.gov ↗
Before you buy or rent
  • Look up the address on FEMA’s flood map.
  • Ask the seller or landlord whether it has ever flooded, and what flood insurance costs there.
  • Get a flood insurance quote early: policies usually start 30 days after you buy.
When a storm is coming
Forecast and alertsWeather →911, the nearest ERSafety →

Know where neighbors sign up for alerts? Add it to the Handbook so everyone has it.

Next door

Fredericksburg and its neighbors

Fredericksburg has the lowest rating of the 3 towns around it. Tap a town to see its hazards.

Very lowLowModerateHighVery high
TownRatingMostlyFlood claims
Chatham HeightsModerateinland flooding0
FalmouthLowinland flooding4
FredericksburgLowinland flooding30

Rating = expected yearly storm and flood damage as a share of what’s there, vs. U.S. communities. Flood claims = paid federal flood insurance claims on record.

Storm season

Most disasters here begin in January–February

The month each of the county’s 17 declared disasters began, since 1953.

5J
2F
1M
A
M
2J
J
2A
3S
1O
N
1D
Winter stormsHurricanesSevere stormsFloodsEarthquakes
How to read this page

What these numbers can and can’t tell you

  • An average, not a forecast. FEMA’s National Risk Index estimates the damage 18 kinds of natural hazards cause in a typical year, from decades of records and models. A quiet decade can follow a bad year.
  • Compared by rate. “Higher than N%” compares yearly damage as a share of what’s there, so a big city isn’t rated riskier just for having more buildings.
  • Money that reached town. Flood claims are matched to Fredericksburg’s own flood-insurance community; household aid to the registrant’s city; repair grants to the City of Fredericksburg.
  • It follows property value. FEMA’s model weighs damage to buildings, so a place that recently lost many homes can rate lower than it feels. Across Fredericksburg, expected losses total about $6.8M a year, counting buildings, people and crops.

Storm stories

Memories, warnings and help from neighbors in Fredericksburg.

Town Square →
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Sources: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025); OpenFEMA: NFIP redacted claims, multiple-loss properties, community status book and residential penetration rates, housing assistance (owners and renters), public assistance funded projects, hazard mitigation properties and disaster declarations. Census tracts: U.S. Census Bureau. Preparedness tips: Ready.gov. An average of past damage, not a forecast.

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