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Natural hazards in Mexican Hat · FEMA

Mexican Hat is calmer than 100% of U.S. communities

Most of the natural-hazard damage FEMA expects in Mexican Hat comes from avalanches, and overall the risk is very low for a U.S. community.

0Very low riskLowerHigherExpected storm and flood damage, vs. U.S. communities
Overall risk
Very low
higher than 0% of U.S. places
Main hazard
Avalanches
42% of expected damage
Flood claims
0
none on record
Disasters paid out here
0
of 4 declared for San Juan County

What stands out about Mexican Hat’s weather risks

Read from FEMA’s records below. The page puts what stands out first.

★ What stands out · Expected damage

How exposed is Mexican Hat?

FEMA expects yearly storm and flood damage to homes and buildings here to be higher than in 0% of U.S. communities, mostly from avalanches and inland flooding.

Where Mexican Hat sits
Mexican Hat
Very lowLowModerateHighVery high

Calmer than 329 of the 334 Utah towns we cover.

Mexican Hat is smaller than a census tract, so it shares the figures of the tract around its center.

What drives the damage
Avalanches42%Inland flooding19%Heat waves13%Landslides10%Lightning7%Everything else9%
By hazard

What Mexican Hat faces

Each hazard’s share of the damage FEMA expects here, and how it compares with the rest of the country.

Avalanches

42%of expected damage
Well above average · among the top 1% of U.S. places
Recorded about once every 15 years in the area

Inland flooding

19%of expected damage
Well below average · higher than 2% of U.S. places
Recorded about 2 times a year in the area

Heat waves

13%of expected damage
Below average · higher than 47% of U.S. places
Recorded about once a year in the area

Landslides

10%of expected damage
Well above average · higher than 94% of U.S. places

Lightning

7%of expected damage
Above average · higher than 65% of U.S. places
Lower here
🌪️ Tornadoes🧊 Hail🧊 Ice storms❄️ Winter weather🔥 Wildfire🏚️ Earthquakes💨 Strong wind🌵 Drought
Not a risk here
Coastal floodingHurricanesCold wavesTsunamisVolcanic activity
Flood risk changes street by street. Check a specific address on FEMA’s flood map, and ask about flood insurance before you buy.
Flood insurance claims

Does Mexican Hat flood? No paid flood claims on record

FEMA’s records show no paid flood insurance claims in Mexican Hat. That’s not a promise: most homes don’t carry flood insurance, so small floods go unrecorded.

of all homes are insured
No community discount

Mexican Hat isn’t in FEMA’s Community Rating System, which cuts flood insurance up to 45% in towns that do extra flood-proofing.

Insurance rates: San Juan County.
Storms remembered

Federal disasters declared here

None of the disasters declared for San Juan County shows FEMA aid or repair money reaching Mexican Hat itself in FEMA’s records.

Disasters declared, by decade
Paid out in Mexican HatSan Juan County only

San Juan County has had 4 natural disasters declared since 1953, most often fires and floods.

Be ready

Get ready for what Mexican Hat actually faces

A short kit for its top hazards, what to check before you buy, and where neighbors get alerts.

Avalanche terrain
  • Check the avalanche forecast before heading into the backcountry.
  • Carry a beacon, probe and shovel, and know how to use them.
  • Most avalanches are set off by the people caught in them.
More from avalanche.org ↗
When the river rises
  • Turn around at flooded roads: a foot of moving water can carry off a car.
  • Flood insurance usually takes 30 days to start, so buy it before the forecast.
  • Keep papers and medicines up high, in a grab-and-go bag.
More from Ready.gov ↗
Heat waves
  • Know the nearest cooling center or air-conditioned library.
  • Drink water before you feel thirsty.
  • Check on neighbors who live alone.
More from Ready.gov ↗
Before you buy or rent
  • Look up the address on FEMA’s flood map.
  • Ask the seller or landlord whether it has ever flooded, and what flood insurance costs there.
  • Get a flood insurance quote early: policies usually start 30 days after you buy.
When a storm is coming
Forecast and alertsWeather →911, the nearest ERSafety →

Know where neighbors sign up for alerts? Add it to the Handbook so everyone has it.

Next door

Mexican Hat and its neighbors

How storm and flood risk compares across the town line. Tap a town to see its hazards.

Very lowLowModerateHighVery high
TownRatingMostlyFlood claims
HalchitaVery lowavalanches0
Mexican HatVery lowavalanches0

Rating = expected yearly storm and flood damage as a share of what’s there, vs. U.S. communities. Flood claims = paid federal flood insurance claims on record.

How to read this page

What these numbers can and can’t tell you

  • An average, not a forecast. FEMA’s National Risk Index estimates the damage 18 kinds of natural hazards cause in a typical year, from decades of records and models. A quiet decade can follow a bad year.
  • Compared by rate. “Higher than N%” compares yearly damage as a share of what’s there, so a big city isn’t rated riskier just for having more buildings.
  • Money that reached town. Flood claims are matched to Mexican Hat’s own flood-insurance community; household aid to the registrant’s city; repair grants to Mexican Hat.
  • It follows property value. FEMA’s model weighs damage to buildings, so a place that recently lost many homes can rate lower than it feels.

Storm stories

Memories, warnings and help from neighbors in Mexican Hat.

Town Square →
Weigh in
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Sources: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025); OpenFEMA: NFIP redacted claims, multiple-loss properties, community status book and residential penetration rates, housing assistance (owners and renters), public assistance funded projects, hazard mitigation properties and disaster declarations. Census tracts: U.S. Census Bureau. Preparedness tips: Ready.gov. An average of past damage, not a forecast.

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