Climate · Chapel Hill

Chapel Hill, TN climate

Chapel Hill has mild winters and warm summers, with plenty of rain. A typical July afternoon reaches 90°, a January night drops to 29°, and about 1 inches of snow falls in a normal winter.

NOAA 1991-2020 climate normals Updated once a decade
July high
90°
92nd hottest of 504 Tennessee towns
January low
29°
246th mildest of 504 Tennessee towns
Rain + melted snow
55 in
219th driest of 504 Tennessee towns
Snow a winter
1 in
67th least snowy of 503 Tennessee towns
A normal year

What a year in Chapel Hill feels like

Winter

51° / 30°
Typical high / low · Snow is rare

Spring

71° / 46°
Typical high / low · Last frost around Apr 7

Summer

88° / 65°
Typical high / low · 49 days reach 90° in a normal year

Fall

73° / 47°
Typical high / low · First frost around Oct 29
Best months to be outsideAprMaySepOctHighs of 62–84° and lows of 40° or more
Month by month

Chapel Hill weather by month

Average highs, lows, rain and snow for every month, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 normals.

MonthHighLowRain + meltSnowWet daysSnow on ground30-yr range
January49°29°4.6" 0.1"120 30° – 46°
February53°31°5.1" 0.2"120 32° – 51°
March62°38°5.4" 0.7"120 43° – 60°
April72°46°5.0" 0110 53° – 64°
May79°55°4.8" 0120 62° – 73°
June87°64°4.5" 0110 71° – 80°
July90°67°4.5" 0110 74° – 82°
August89°65°3.9" 090 72° – 84°
September84°58°4.0" 080 67° – 78°
October73°47°3.7" 080 57° – 65°
November61°37°3.9" 0100 43° – 54°
December52°31°5.4" 0.1"120 31° – 52°
Year71°47°54.5"1.1"1281

“Wet days” have at least 0.01" of rain or melted snow. “Snow on ground” counts days with 1" or more. The 30-year range is the coldest and warmest that month’s average temperature got between 1991 and 2020.

Rain & snow

Rain and snow in Chapel Hill

Chapel Hill gets 55 inches of rain and melted snow a year. March is the wettest month and October the driest. Rain or snow falls on about 128 days a year.

55 in
Rain + melted snow a year
More rain than 94% of U.S. towns
1 in
Snow in a normal winter
Less snow than 86% of U.S. towns
1 days
With 1"+ of snow on the ground
Fewer than 81% of U.S. towns

Rain + melted snow by month

Inches of water
5.4"

Snowfall by month

About 1.1" in a normal year, so most winters see none.
Frost & the growing season

About 204 frost-free days a year

In half of years the last 32° night comes by April 7 and the first one by October 29. That leaves about 204 frost-free days for gardens, longer than 75% of U.S. towns.

76
nights at or below 32° in a normal year
<1
nights below 0° in a normal year
49
days that reach 90° in a normal year

Freezing nights by month

Average nights at or below 32°

90° days by month

Average days at 90° or more
Heating & cooling

Heating and cooling a home in Chapel Hill

Engineers use “degree days” to estimate how hard a furnace or air conditioner works. In Chapel Hill, 69% of that work is heating and 31% is cooling.

69%heating
3,523 heating degree daysLess heating than 82% of U.S. towns
1,602 cooling degree daysMore cooling than 81% of U.S. towns

Degree days measure how far each day’s average temperature falls below or rises above 65°, added up over a year. Source: NOAA station normals.

Compared with other towns

How Chapel Hill compares

Summer heat90° July high
Hotter than 78% of U.S. towns92nd hottest of 504 Tennessee towns
Winter cold29° January low
Milder than 80% of U.S. towns246th mildest of 504 Tennessee towns
Precipitation55" a year
Wetter than 94% of U.S. towns219th driest of 504 Tennessee towns
Snow1" a winter
Less snow than 86% of U.S. towns67th least snowy of 503 Tennessee towns
Growing season204 frost-free days
Longer than 75% of U.S. towns218th shortest of 504 Tennessee towns

Compared with every U.S. town and city on TownTapestry, each counted once.

Then and now

Warmer than it used to be

+0.8°1991–2020 average vs. the 20th century (1901–2000)

The last 30 years in Chapel Hill averaged 0.8° warmer than the 1900s. The biggest change is in February (+1.6°). The shift is smaller than in 87% of U.S. towns.

❄️ Winter+1.3° now 41°, was 40°
🌷 Spring+0.8° now 59°, was 58°
☀️ Summer+0.6° now 77°, was 76°
🍂 Fall+0.4° now 60°, was 59°

Change by month1991–2020 average minus 1901–2000 average, at Chapel Hill’s spot on NOAA’s grid

Year to year

How much a month can swing

A normal is an average, and real years wander around it. December swings the most: between 1991 and 2020 its average temperature ranged from 31° to 52°. July is the most reliable, staying within 8°.

Coldest to warmest month in 30 yearsNormal
Questions

Common questions about Chapel Hill’s climate

What is the coldest month in Chapel Hill?

January, with a typical high of 49° and a low of 29°.

What is the hottest month in Chapel Hill?

July, with a typical high of 90° and a low of 67°. About 49 days a year reach 90°.

How much snow does Chapel Hill get?

About 1 inches in a normal winter, most of it in March.

When is the first frost in Chapel Hill?

In half of years the first 32° night comes by October 29, and the last spring frost by April 7.

What is the rainiest month in Chapel Hill?

March, with 5.4 inches of rain and melted snow. The year totals 55 inches.

Temperatures and rainfall come from NOAA’s gridded climate normals for Chapel Hill itself (about a 3-mile square). Snow, frost dates and day counts come from NOAA’s weather station at Shelbyville Water Dept, TN (15 mi) away. Normals are 30-year averages, not a forecast. Source: NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991–2020 and 1901–2000.

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