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Natural hazards in Progress · FEMA

Progress is calmer than 70% of U.S. communities

Most of the natural-hazard damage FEMA expects in Progress comes from inland flooding, and overall the risk is low for a U.S. community. Flood insurance has paid 8 claims here since 1979.

30Low riskLowerHigherExpected storm and flood damage, vs. U.S. communities
Overall risk
Low
higher than 30% of U.S. places
Main hazard
Inland flooding
61% of expected damage
Flood claims
8
paid since 1979 · $22K
Disasters paid out here
0
of 18 declared for Dauphin County
Expected yearly loss
$1.0M
buildings, people and crops

What stands out about Progress’s weather risks

Read from FEMA’s records below. The page puts what stands out first.

★ What stands out · Expected damage

How exposed is Progress?

FEMA expects yearly storm and flood damage to homes and buildings here to be higher than in 30% of U.S. communities, mostly from inland flooding.

Where Progress sits
Progress
Very lowLowModerateHighVery high

Calmer than 1,568 of the 2,558 Pennsylvania towns we cover.

Progress covers 1 census tract, combined by population.

What drives the damage
Inland flooding61%Earthquakes8%Hurricanes8%Tornadoes6%Heat waves5%Everything else13%
By hazard

What Progress faces

Each hazard’s share of the damage FEMA expects here, and how it compares with the rest of the country.

Inland flooding

61%of expected damage
Below average · higher than 49% of U.S. places
Recorded about 2 times a year in the area

Earthquakes

8%of expected damage
Above average · higher than 64% of U.S. places

Hurricanes

8%of expected damage
Well above average · higher than 79% of U.S. places
Recorded about once every 14 years in the area

Tornadoes

6%of expected damage
Below average · higher than 48% of U.S. places

Heat waves

5%of expected damage
Well below average · higher than 13% of U.S. places
Recorded about 5 times a year in the area
Lower here
🧊 Hail🧊 Ice storms❄️ Winter weather🥶 Cold waves🔥 Wildfire⛰️ Landslides💨 Strong wind⚡ Lightning🌵 Drought
Not a risk here
Coastal floodingAvalanchesTsunamisVolcanic activity
Flood risk changes street by street. Check a specific address on FEMA’s flood map, and ask about flood insurance before you buy.
Flood insurance claims

Does Progress flood? Rarely: 8 flood claims since 1979

Every paid claim on a federal flood insurance policy in Progress, from FEMA’s records.

Paid flood claims, by year
1979: 3 claims1980: 0 claims1981: 2 claims1982: 0 claims1983: 1 claim1984: 0 claims1985: 0 claims1986: 0 claims1987: 0 claims1988: 0 claims1989: 0 claims1990: 0 claims1991: 0 claims1992: 0 claims1993: 0 claims1994: 0 claims1995: 0 claims1996: 0 claims1997: 0 claims1998: 0 claims1999: 0 claims2000: 0 claims2001: 0 claims2002: 0 claims2003: 0 claims2004: 0 claims2005: 0 claims2006: 0 claims2007: 0 claims2008: 0 claims2009: 0 claims2010: 0 claims2011: 2 claims2012: 0 claims2013: 0 claims2014: 0 claims2015: 0 claims2016: 0 claims2017: 0 claims2018: 0 claims2019: 0 claims2020: 0 claims2021: 0 claims2022: 0 claims2023: 0 claims2024: 0 claims2025: 0 claims2026: 0 claims 197919812011
19792026
Biggest named events
  • The Not a named storm3 claims · $1K
  • Tropical Storm Lee2 claims · $20K
8
paid claims since 1979
$22K
paid to owners
0
homes flooded more than once
$3K
average claim
of homes in flood zones are insured
of all homes are insured
No community discount

Progress isn’t in FEMA’s Community Rating System, which cuts flood insurance up to 45% in towns that do extra flood-proofing.

Insurance rates: Dauphin County.
Storms remembered

Federal disasters declared here

None of the disasters declared for Dauphin County shows FEMA aid or repair money reaching Progress itself in FEMA’s records.

Disasters declared, by decade
Paid out in ProgressDauphin County only

Dauphin County has had 18 natural disasters declared since 1953, most often floods and hurricanes.

Be ready

Get ready for what Progress actually faces

A short kit for its top hazards, what to check before you buy, and where neighbors get alerts.

When the river rises
  • Turn around at flooded roads: a foot of moving water can carry off a car.
  • Flood insurance usually takes 30 days to start, so buy it before the forecast.
  • Keep papers and medicines up high, in a grab-and-go bag.
More from Ready.gov ↗
Earthquakes
  • Drop, cover and hold on.
  • Strap tall furniture and the water heater to the wall.
  • Know how to shut off the gas.
More from Ready.gov ↗
Hurricane season
  • The season runs June through November and peaks from mid-August to mid-October.
  • Bring in porch furniture and anything the wind can throw.
  • Fill the gas tank and charge phones before the storm arrives.
More from Ready.gov ↗
Before you buy or rent
  • Look up the address on FEMA’s flood map.
  • Ask the seller or landlord whether it has ever flooded, and what flood insurance costs there.
  • Get a flood insurance quote early: policies usually start 30 days after you buy.
When a storm is coming
Forecast and alertsWeather →911, the nearest ERSafety →

Know where neighbors sign up for alerts? Add it to the Handbook so everyone has it.

Next door

Progress and its neighbors

How storm and flood risk compares across the town line. Tap a town to see its hazards.

Very lowLowModerateHighVery high
TownRatingMostlyFlood claims
ProgressLowinland flooding8
PenbrookVery lowinland flooding3

Rating = expected yearly storm and flood damage as a share of what’s there, vs. U.S. communities. Flood claims = paid federal flood insurance claims on record.

Storm season

Most disasters here begin in August–October

The month each of Dauphin County’s 18 declared disasters began, since 1953.

4J
2F
1M
A
M
2J
J
2A
5S
2O
N
D
FloodsHurricanesWinter stormsSevere storms
How to read this page

What these numbers can and can’t tell you

  • An average, not a forecast. FEMA’s National Risk Index estimates the damage 18 kinds of natural hazards cause in a typical year, from decades of records and models. A quiet decade can follow a bad year.
  • Compared by rate. “Higher than N%” compares yearly damage as a share of what’s there, so a big city isn’t rated riskier just for having more buildings.
  • Money that reached town. Flood claims are matched to Progress’s own flood-insurance community (here, the census tracts inside it); household aid to the registrant’s city; repair grants to Progress.
  • It follows property value. FEMA’s model weighs damage to buildings, so a place that recently lost many homes can rate lower than it feels. Across Progress, expected losses total about $1.0M a year, counting buildings, people and crops.

Storm stories

Memories, warnings and help from neighbors in Progress.

Town Square →
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Sources: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025); OpenFEMA: NFIP redacted claims, multiple-loss properties, community status book and residential penetration rates, housing assistance (owners and renters), public assistance funded projects, hazard mitigation properties and disaster declarations. Census tracts: U.S. Census Bureau. Preparedness tips: Ready.gov. An average of past damage, not a forecast.

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