Natural hazards · Kelly

Kelly, PA natural hazards

Most of the natural-hazard damage FEMA expects in Kelly comes from inland flooding, and overall the risk is high for a U.S. community. Flood insurance has paid 17 claims here since 1996.

FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025 · OpenFEMA claims, aid & declarations
Expected damage

How exposed is Kelly?

62
High
vs. U.S. communities

FEMA expects yearly storm and flood damage to homes and buildings in Kelly to be higher than in 62% of U.S. communities, mostly from inland flooding and hurricanes.

Inland flooding51%Hurricanes15%Strong wind11%Tornadoes6%Everything else18%
By hazard

What Kelly faces

Each hazard’s share of the damage FEMA expects here, and how that compares with the rest of the country.

Inland flooding

51% of expected damage
Well above average · higher than 81% of U.S. places
Recorded about once a year in the area

Hurricanes

15% of expected damage
Above average · higher than 67% of U.S. places
Recorded about once every 25 years in the area

Strong wind

11% of expected damage
Well above average · higher than 96% of U.S. places
Recorded about 3 times a year in the area

Tornadoes

6% of expected damage
Below average · higher than 46% of U.S. places

Lower here

HailIce stormsWinter weatherCold wavesHeat wavesWildfireEarthquakesLandslidesLightning

Not a risk here

Coastal floodingDroughtAvalanchesTsunamisVolcanic activity
Flood risk changes street by street. Check a specific address on FEMA’s flood map, and ask about flood insurance before you buy.
Flood insurance claims

Does Kelly flood?

Every paid claim on a federal flood insurance policy in Kelly, from FEMA’s records.

17paid claims since 1996
$284Kpaid to owners
4homes flooded more than once
19962026

Biggest named events

  • Tropical Storm Ivan: 5 claims, $117K
  • Tropical Storm Lee: 3 claims, $53K
  • Hurricane Debby: 2 claims, $45K

Homes that flooded again and again

■ FEMA “severe repetitive loss” (0) ■ flooded 2+ times

of homes in flood zones
are insured
of all homes
are insured
No community discount. Kelly isn’t in FEMA’s Community Rating System, which cuts flood insurance up to 45% in towns that do extra flood-proofing.
Insurance rates: Union County.
Disasters that hit Kelly

Federal disasters declared here

None of the disasters declared for Union County shows FEMA aid or repair money reaching Kelly itself in FEMA’s records.

Brought FEMA money into KellyDeclared for Union County only
Union County has had 15 natural disasters declared since 1953, most often floods and hurricanes.
Around Kelly

Kelly and the towns around it

Buffalo: Moderate, mostly inland floodingWest Chillisquaque: High, mostly inland floodingLewisburg: Very high, mostly inland floodingMilton: High, mostly inland floodingWhite Deer: High, mostly inland floodingEast Buffalo: Moderate, mostly inland floodingLimestone: High, mostly inland floodingWest Buffalo: High, mostly inland floodingMifflinburg: High, mostly inland floodingEast Chillisquaque: High, mostly inland floodingTurbot: High, mostly inland floodingWatsontown: High, mostly inland floodingDelaware: High, mostly inland floodingKelly: High, mostly inland flooding KellyBuffaloWest ChillisquaqueLewisburgMiltonWhite Deer
Very lowLowModerateHighVery high
Lewisburgmostly inland floodingVery high
White Deermostly inland floodingHigh
Miltonmostly inland floodingHigh
West Chillisquaquemostly inland floodingHigh
Kellymostly inland floodingHigh
Buffalomostly inland floodingModerate
About these numbers

How to read this page

An average, not a forecastFEMA’s National Risk Index estimates the damage 18 kinds of natural hazards cause in a typical year, from decades of records and models. A quiet decade can follow a bad year.
Compared by rate“Higher than N%” compares yearly damage as a share of what’s here, so a big city isn’t rated riskier just for having more buildings. Kelly covers 1 census tract, combined by population.
Money that reached townFlood claims are matched to Kelly’s own flood-insurance community; household aid to the registrant’s city; repair grants to the Township of Kelly. FEMA’s model follows property values, so a place that recently lost many homes can rate lower than it feels.

FEMA’s expected losses across Kelly total about $64K a year, counting buildings, people and crops.

Sources: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025); OpenFEMA: NFIP redacted claims, multiple-loss properties, community status book and residential penetration rates, housing assistance (owners and renters), public assistance funded projects, hazard mitigation properties and disaster declarations. Census tracts: U.S. Census Bureau.

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Boundary source: https://tigerweb.geo.census.gov/arcgis/rest/services/TIGERweb/Places_CouSub_ConCity_SubMCD/MapServer/15 · 2025-01-01