Climate · Confluence

Confluence, PA climate

Confluence has chilly, snowy winters and pleasant summers. A typical July afternoon reaches 83°, a January night drops to 20°, and about 61 inches of snow falls in a normal winter.

NOAA 1991-2020 climate normals Updated once a decade
July high
83°
1536th coolest of 3,547 Pennsylvania towns
January low
20°
1748th coldest of 3,547 Pennsylvania towns
Rain + melted snow
46 in
1336th wettest of 3,547 Pennsylvania towns
Snow a winter
61 in
429th snowiest of 3,541 Pennsylvania towns
A normal year

What a year in Confluence feels like

Winter

40° / 22°
Typical high / low · 24 days with an inch or more of snow

Spring

62° / 37°
Typical high / low · Last frost around Apr 30

Summer

82° / 57°
Typical high / low · 12 days reach 90° in a normal year

Fall

64° / 41°
Typical high / low · First frost around Oct 18
Best months to be outsideMayJunJulAugSepHighs of 62–84° and lows of 40° or more
Month by month

Confluence weather by month

Average highs, lows, rain and snow for every month, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 normals.

MonthHighLowRain + meltSnowWet daysSnow on ground30-yr range
January38°20°3.4" 18.3"1820 21° – 38°
February41°21°3.2" 16.9"1517 19° – 40°
March50°27°3.8" 10.3"1510 33° – 49°
April63°37°3.9" 0.9"151 45° – 56°
May72°47°4.7" 0170 53° – 68°
June80°55°4.6" 0150 63° – 70°
July83°59°4.5" 0140 67° – 75°
August82°58°4.1" 0130 66° – 74°
September76°51°3.7" 0120 60° – 68°
October64°40°3.3" 0.2"120 49° – 58°
November52°31°3.1" 3.7"133 35° – 47°
December42°25°3.5" 10.9"1612 22° – 44°
Year62°39°45.8"61.2"17362

“Wet days” have at least 0.01" of rain or melted snow. “Snow on ground” counts days with 1" or more. The 30-year range is the coldest and warmest that month’s average temperature got between 1991 and 2020.

Rain & snow

Rain and snow in Confluence

Confluence gets 46 inches of rain and melted snow a year. May is the wettest month and November the driest. Rain or snow falls on about 173 days a year. Snow covers the ground about 62 days of the year.

46 in
Rain + melted snow a year
More rain than 72% of U.S. towns
61 in
Snow in a normal winter
More snow than 89% of U.S. towns
62 days
With 1"+ of snow on the ground
More than 73% of U.S. towns

Rain + melted snow by month

Inches of water
4.7"

Snowfall by month

Inches of snow
18"
Frost & the growing season

About 171 frost-free days a year

In half of years the last 32° night comes by April 30 and the first one by October 18. That leaves about 171 frost-free days for gardens, shorter than 59% of U.S. towns.

148
nights at or below 32° in a normal year
6
nights below 0° in a normal year
12
days that reach 90° in a normal year

Freezing nights by month

Average nights at or below 32°

90° days by month

Average days at 90° or more
Heating & cooling

Heating and cooling a home in Confluence

Engineers use “degree days” to estimate how hard a furnace or air conditioner works. In Confluence, 90% of that work is heating and 10% is cooling, so the furnace matters far more than the air conditioner.

90%heating
5,916 heating degree daysMore heating than 53% of U.S. towns
631 cooling degree daysLess cooling than 67% of U.S. towns

Degree days measure how far each day’s average temperature falls below or rises above 65°, added up over a year. Source: NOAA station normals.

Around Confluence

Confluence and its neighbors

Confluence borders 3 towns with climate data. January nights across them vary by 1.6°. Addison has the coldest January nights (18°) and Lower Turkeyfoot the hottest July afternoons (81°). Confluence’s January low is 20° and its July high 83°.

Upper Turkeyfoot: January low 18°, July high 80°Springfield: January low 20°, July high 82°Ursina: January low 20°, July high 83°Stewart: January low 20°, July high 82°Wharton: January low 19°, July high 81°Black: January low 18°, July high 80°Elk Lick: January low 17°, July high 78°Lower Turkeyfoot: January low 19°, July high 81°Henry Clay: January low 19°, July high 80°Addison: January low 18°, July high 79°Confluence: January low 20°, July high 83° ConfluenceLower TurkeyfootHenry ClayAddison
ColderMilder17° to 20°
Addison18.1° −1.6°
Henry Clay18.8° −0.9°
Lower Turkeyfoot19.1° −0.6°
Confluence19.7°

Temperatures and rain come from NOAA’s 5 km grid, so each town gets its own value.

Compared with other towns

How Confluence compares

Summer heat83° July high
Cooler than 64% of U.S. towns1536th coolest of 3,547 Pennsylvania towns
Winter cold20° January low
Milder than 52% of U.S. towns1748th coldest of 3,547 Pennsylvania towns
Precipitation46" a year
Wetter than 72% of U.S. towns1336th wettest of 3,547 Pennsylvania towns
Snow61" a winter
Snowier than 89% of U.S. towns429th snowiest of 3,541 Pennsylvania towns
Growing season171 frost-free days
Shorter than 59% of U.S. towns1333rd shortest of 3,547 Pennsylvania towns

Compared with every U.S. town and city on TownTapestry, each counted once.

Then and now

Warmer than it used to be

+1.0°1991–2020 average vs. the 20th century (1901–2000)

The last 30 years in Confluence averaged 1.0° warmer than the 1900s. The biggest change is in December (+2.4°). The shift is smaller than in 69% of U.S. towns.

❄️ Winter+1.7° now 31°, was 29°
🌷 Spring+1.1° now 49°, was 48°
☀️ Summer+0.7° now 70°, was 69°
🍂 Fall+0.5° now 52°, was 52°

Change by month1991–2020 average minus 1901–2000 average, at Confluence’s spot on NOAA’s grid

Year to year

How much a month can swing

A normal is an average, and real years wander around it. December swings the most: between 1991 and 2020 its average temperature ranged from 22° to 44°. June is the most reliable, staying within 7°.

Coldest to warmest month in 30 yearsNormal
Questions

Common questions about Confluence’s climate

What is the coldest month in Confluence?

January, with a typical high of 38° and a low of 20°.

What is the hottest month in Confluence?

July, with a typical high of 83° and a low of 59°. About 12 days a year reach 90°.

How much snow does Confluence get?

About 61 inches in a normal winter, most of it in January.

When is the first frost in Confluence?

In half of years the first 32° night comes by October 18, and the last spring frost by April 30.

What is the rainiest month in Confluence?

May, with 4.7 inches of rain and melted snow. The year totals 46 inches.

Temperatures and rainfall come from NOAA’s gridded climate normals for Confluence itself (about a 3-mile square). Snow, frost dates and day counts come from NOAA’s weather station at Confluence 1 Sw Dam, PA (1 mi) away. Normals are 30-year averages, not a forecast. Source: NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991–2020 and 1901–2000.

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