Natural hazards · Elm Tree

Elm Tree, ND natural hazards

Most of the natural-hazard damage FEMA expects in Elm Tree comes from cold waves, and overall the risk is low for a U.S. community.

FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025 · OpenFEMA claims, aid & declarations
Expected damage

How exposed is Elm Tree?

30
Low
vs. U.S. communities

FEMA expects yearly storm and flood damage to homes and buildings in Elm Tree to be higher than in 30% of U.S. communities, mostly from cold waves and inland flooding.

Cold waves40%Inland flooding23%Hail10%Tornadoes7%Strong wind6%Everything else13%
By hazard

What Elm Tree faces

Each hazard’s share of the damage FEMA expects here, and how that compares with the rest of the country.

Cold waves

40% of expected damage
Above average · higher than 73% of U.S. places
Recorded about 15 times a year in the area

Inland flooding

23% of expected damage
Well below average · higher than 20% of U.S. places
Recorded about once every 4 years in the area

Hail

10% of expected damage
Well above average · higher than 95% of U.S. places
Recorded about 2 times a year in the area

Tornadoes

7% of expected damage
Above average · higher than 60% of U.S. places
Recorded about once every 7 years in the area

Strong wind

6% of expected damage
Well above average · higher than 76% of U.S. places
Recorded about once a year in the area

Lower here

Ice stormsWinter weatherHeat wavesWildfireEarthquakesLandslidesLightningDrought

Not a risk here

Coastal floodingHurricanesAvalanchesTsunamisVolcanic activity
Flood risk changes street by street. Check a specific address on FEMA’s flood map, and ask about flood insurance before you buy.
Flood insurance claims

Does Elm Tree flood?

FEMA's records show no paid flood insurance claims in Elm Tree.

of homes in flood zones
are insured
of all homes
are insured
No community discount. Elm Tree isn’t in FEMA’s Community Rating System, which cuts flood insurance up to 45% in towns that do extra flood-proofing.
Insurance rates: McKenzie County.
Disasters that hit Elm Tree

Federal disasters declared here

None of the disasters declared for McKenzie County shows FEMA aid or repair money reaching Elm Tree itself in FEMA’s records.

Brought FEMA money into Elm TreeDeclared for McKenzie County only
McKenzie County has had 20 natural disasters declared since 1953, most often severe storms and floods.
Around Elm Tree

Elm Tree and the towns around it

Dry Fork: Very low, mostly inland floodingRiverview: Low, mostly cold wavesKeene: Low, mostly cold wavesPleasant Valley: Very low, mostly inland floodingHawkeye: Low, mostly cold wavesBlue Butte: Low, mostly cold wavesElm Tree: Low, mostly cold waves Elm TreeDry ForkRiverviewKeene
Very lowLowModerateHighVery high
Elm Treemostly cold wavesLow
Riverviewmostly cold wavesLow
Keenemostly cold wavesLow
Dry Forkmostly inland floodingVery low
About these numbers

How to read this page

An average, not a forecastFEMA’s National Risk Index estimates the damage 18 kinds of natural hazards cause in a typical year, from decades of records and models. A quiet decade can follow a bad year.
Compared by rate“Higher than N%” compares yearly damage as a share of what’s here, so a big city isn’t rated riskier just for having more buildings. Elm Tree is smaller than a census tract, so it shares the figures of the tract around its center.
Money that reached townFlood claims are matched to Elm Tree’s own flood-insurance community; household aid to the registrant’s city; repair grants to the Township of Elm Tree. FEMA’s model follows property values, so a place that recently lost many homes can rate lower than it feels.

Sources: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025); OpenFEMA: NFIP redacted claims, multiple-loss properties, community status book and residential penetration rates, housing assistance (owners and renters), public assistance funded projects, hazard mitigation properties and disaster declarations. Census tracts: U.S. Census Bureau.

We left the porch light on

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Boundary source: https://tigerweb.geo.census.gov/arcgis/rest/services/TIGERweb/Places_CouSub_ConCity_SubMCD/MapServer/15 · 2025-01-01