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Natural hazards · Welcome

Welcome, MN natural hazards

Most of the natural-hazard damage FEMA expects in Welcome comes from inland flooding, and overall the risk is low for a U.S. community. 2 federal disasters brought FEMA money into town.

FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025 · OpenFEMA claims, aid & declarations
Expected damage

How exposed is Welcome?

34
Low
vs. U.S. communities

FEMA expects yearly storm and flood damage to homes and buildings in Welcome to be higher than in 34% of U.S. communities, mostly from inland flooding and cold waves.

Inland flooding31%Cold waves16%Hail15%Tornadoes13%Drought12%Strong wind9%Everything else4%
By hazard

What Welcome faces

Each hazard’s share of the damage FEMA expects here, and how that compares with the rest of the country.

Inland flooding

31% of expected damage
Below average · higher than 37% of U.S. places
Recorded about once every 2 years in the area

Cold waves

16% of expected damage
Above average · higher than 66% of U.S. places
Recorded about 11 times a year in the area

Hail

15% of expected damage
Above average · higher than 74% of U.S. places
Recorded about 4 times a year in the area

Tornadoes

13% of expected damage
Well above average · higher than 95% of U.S. places
Recorded about once every 7 years in the area

Drought

12% of expected damage
Recorded about 12 times a year in the area

Strong wind

9% of expected damage
Well above average · higher than 96% of U.S. places
Recorded about 4 times a year in the area

Lower here

Ice stormsWinter weatherHeat wavesWildfireEarthquakesLandslidesLightning

Not a risk here

Coastal floodingHurricanesAvalanchesTsunamisVolcanic activity
Flood risk changes street by street. Check a specific address on FEMA’s flood map, and ask about flood insurance before you buy.
Flood insurance claims

Does Welcome flood?

FEMA's records show no paid flood insurance claims in Welcome.

Disasters that hit Welcome

2 federal disasters brought FEMA money here

Disasters the President declared that paid out in Welcome itself: aid to households, or repair grants to the City of Welcome.

Brought FEMA money into WelcomeDeclared for Martin County only
2024

Severe Storms and Flooding

3 households applied for aid $11K aid approved
2004

Severe Storms and Flooding

5 households applied for aid $8K aid approved
Martin County has had 13 natural disasters declared since 1953, most often floods and severe storms.
Around Welcome

Welcome and the towns around it

Rolling Green: Low, mostly inland floodingManyaska: Moderate, mostly inland floodingFox Lake: Low, mostly inland floodingFairmont: Low, mostly inland floodingFraser: Low, mostly inland floodingTenhassen: Moderate, mostly inland floodingSherburn: Moderate, mostly inland floodingLake Belt: Moderate, mostly inland floodingJay: Moderate, mostly inland floodingElm Creek: Low, mostly inland floodingTrimont: Low, mostly inland floodingGalena: Low, mostly inland floodingWelcome: Low, mostly inland flooding WelcomeRolling GreenManyaskaFox Lake
Very lowLowModerateHighVery high
Manyaskamostly inland floodingModerate
Rolling Greenmostly inland floodingLow
Welcomemostly inland floodingLow
Fox Lakemostly inland floodingLow
About these numbers

How to read this page

An average, not a forecastFEMA’s National Risk Index estimates the damage 18 kinds of natural hazards cause in a typical year, from decades of records and models. A quiet decade can follow a bad year.
Compared by rate“Higher than N%” compares yearly damage as a share of what’s here, so a big city isn’t rated riskier just for having more buildings. Welcome is smaller than a census tract, so it shares the figures of the tract around its center.
Money that reached townFlood claims are matched to Welcome’s own flood-insurance community; household aid to the registrant’s city; repair grants to the City of Welcome. FEMA’s model follows property values, so a place that recently lost many homes can rate lower than it feels.

Sources: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025); OpenFEMA: NFIP redacted claims, multiple-loss properties, community status book and residential penetration rates, housing assistance (owners and renters), public assistance funded projects, hazard mitigation properties and disaster declarations. Census tracts: U.S. Census Bureau.

The coffee’s on

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You’re in Welcome, MNView boundary

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Boundary source: https://tigerweb.geo.census.gov/arcgis/rest/services/TIGERweb/Places_CouSub_ConCity_SubMCD/MapServer/18 · 2025-01-01
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