Natural hazards · Arlington

Arlington, MN natural hazards

Most of the natural-hazard damage FEMA expects in Arlington comes from inland flooding, and overall the risk is moderate for a U.S. community. 3 federal disasters brought FEMA money into town.

FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025 · OpenFEMA claims, aid & declarations

Expected damage

How exposed is Arlington?

Moderate

vs. U.S. communities

FEMA expects yearly storm and flood damage to homes and buildings in Arlington to be higher than in 56% of U.S. communities, mostly from inland flooding.

Inland flooding51%Cold waves14%Strong wind14%Tornadoes11%Hail6%Everything else5%

By hazard

What Arlington faces

Each hazard’s share of the damage FEMA expects here, and how that compares with the rest of the country.

Inland flooding

51% of expected damage

Above average · higher than 65% of U.S. places

Recorded about once a year in the area

Cold waves

14% of expected damage

Well below average · higher than 17% of U.S. places

Recorded about 11 times a year in the area

Strong wind

14% of expected damage

Well above average · among the top 1% of U.S. places

Recorded about 5 times a year in the area

Tornadoes

11% of expected damage

Well above average · higher than 91% of U.S. places

Recorded about once every 12 years in the area

Hail

6% of expected damage

Well above average · higher than 86% of U.S. places

Recorded about 6 times a year in the area

Lower here

Ice stormsWinter weatherHeat wavesWildfireEarthquakesLandslidesLightningDrought

Not a risk here

Coastal floodingHurricanesAvalanchesTsunamisVolcanic activity

Flood risk changes street by street. Check a specific address on FEMA’s flood map, and ask about flood insurance before you buy.

Flood insurance claims

Does Arlington flood?

FEMA's records show no paid flood insurance claims in Arlington.

of all homes
are insured

No community discount. Arlington isn’t in FEMA’s Community Rating System, which cuts flood insurance up to 45% in towns that do extra flood-proofing.

Insurance rates: Sibley County.

Disasters that hit Arlington

3 federal disasters brought FEMA money here

Disasters the President declared that paid out in Arlington itself: aid to households, or repair grants to the City of Arlington.

Brought FEMA money into ArlingtonDeclared for Sibley County only

2024

Severe Storms and Flooding

$27K to the City of Arlington for repairs

2019

Severe Winter Storm, Straight-Line Winds, and Flooding

$44K to the City of Arlington for repairs

2014

Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Flooding, Landslides, and Mudslides

$57K to the City of Arlington for repairs

Sibley County has had 17 natural disasters declared since 1953, most often floods and severe storms.

About these numbers

How to read this page

An average, not a forecastFEMA’s National Risk Index estimates the damage 18 kinds of natural hazards cause in a typical year, from decades of records and models. A quiet decade can follow a bad year.

Compared by rate“Higher than N%” compares yearly damage as a share of what’s here, so a big city isn’t rated riskier just for having more buildings. Arlington is smaller than a census tract, so it shares the figures of the tract around its center.

Money that reached townFlood claims are matched to Arlington’s own flood-insurance community; household aid to the registrant’s city; repair grants to the City of Arlington. FEMA’s model follows property values, so a place that recently lost many homes can rate lower than it feels.

Sources: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025); OpenFEMA: NFIP redacted claims, multiple-loss properties, community status book and residential penetration rates, housing assistance (owners and renters), public assistance funded projects, hazard mitigation properties and disaster declarations. Census tracts: U.S. Census Bureau.