Natural hazards · Elsmere

Elsmere, KY natural hazards

Most of the natural-hazard damage FEMA expects in Elsmere comes from tornadoes, and overall the risk is low for a U.S. community.

FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025 · OpenFEMA claims, aid & declarations
Expected damage

How exposed is Elsmere?

24
Low
vs. U.S. communities

FEMA expects yearly storm and flood damage to homes and buildings in Elsmere to be higher than in 24% of U.S. communities, mostly from tornadoes and inland flooding.

Tornadoes29%Inland flooding28%Cold waves18%Strong wind11%Heat waves5%Everything else9%
By hazard

What Elsmere faces

Each hazard’s share of the damage FEMA expects here, and how that compares with the rest of the country.

Tornadoes

29% of expected damage
Well above average · higher than 96% of U.S. places

Inland flooding

28% of expected damage
Below average · higher than 25% of U.S. places
Recorded about 2 times a year in the area

Cold waves

18% of expected damage
Above average · higher than 59% of U.S. places
Recorded about 2 times a year in the area

Strong wind

11% of expected damage
Well above average · higher than 89% of U.S. places
Recorded about 4 times a year in the area

Heat waves

5% of expected damage
Above average · higher than 52% of U.S. places
Recorded about 7 times a year in the area

Lower here

HurricanesHailIce stormsWinter weatherWildfireEarthquakesLandslidesLightning

Not a risk here

Coastal floodingDroughtAvalanchesTsunamisVolcanic activity
Flood risk changes street by street. Check a specific address on FEMA’s flood map, and ask about flood insurance before you buy.
Flood insurance claims

Does Elsmere flood?

FEMA's records show no paid flood insurance claims in Elsmere.

of homes in flood zones
are insured
of all homes
are insured
No community discount. Elsmere isn’t in FEMA’s Community Rating System, which cuts flood insurance up to 45% in towns that do extra flood-proofing.
Insurance rates: Kenton County.
Disasters that hit Elsmere

Federal disasters declared here

None of the disasters declared for Kenton County shows FEMA aid or repair money reaching Elsmere itself in FEMA’s records.

Brought FEMA money into ElsmereDeclared for Kenton County only
Kenton County has had 12 natural disasters declared since 1953, most often severe storms and winter storms.
Around Elsmere

Elsmere and the towns around it

Erlanger: Low, mostly inland floodingIndependence: Low, mostly inland floodingCrescent Springs: Low, mostly inland floodingVilla Hills: Moderate, mostly inland floodingEdgewood: Low, mostly inland floodingCovington: High, mostly inland floodingFlorence: Very low, mostly cold wavesRyland Heights: High, mostly inland floodingElsmere: Low, mostly tornadoes ElsmereErlangerIndependence
Very lowLowModerateHighVery high
Elsmeremostly tornadoesLow
Independencemostly inland floodingLow
Erlangermostly inland floodingLow
About these numbers

How to read this page

An average, not a forecastFEMA’s National Risk Index estimates the damage 18 kinds of natural hazards cause in a typical year, from decades of records and models. A quiet decade can follow a bad year.
Compared by rate“Higher than N%” compares yearly damage as a share of what’s here, so a big city isn’t rated riskier just for having more buildings. Elsmere covers 3 census tracts, combined by population.
Money that reached townFlood claims are matched to Elsmere’s own flood-insurance community; household aid to the registrant’s city; repair grants to the City of Elsmere. FEMA’s model follows property values, so a place that recently lost many homes can rate lower than it feels.

FEMA’s expected losses across Elsmere total about $2.5M a year, counting buildings, people and crops.

Sources: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025); OpenFEMA: NFIP redacted claims, multiple-loss properties, community status book and residential penetration rates, housing assistance (owners and renters), public assistance funded projects, hazard mitigation properties and disaster declarations. Census tracts: U.S. Census Bureau.

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Boundary source: https://tigerweb.geo.census.gov/arcgis/rest/services/TIGERweb/Places_CouSub_ConCity_SubMCD/MapServer/18 · 2025-01-01