Natural hazards · Oldsmar

Oldsmar, FL natural hazards

Most of the natural-hazard damage FEMA expects in Oldsmar comes from hurricanes, and overall the risk is high for a U.S. community. Flood insurance has paid 619 claims here since 1979. 11 federal disasters brought FEMA money into town.

FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025 · OpenFEMA claims, aid & declarations
Expected damage

How exposed is Oldsmar?

62
High
vs. U.S. communities

FEMA expects yearly storm and flood damage to homes and buildings in Oldsmar to be higher than in 62% of U.S. communities, mostly from hurricanes and inland flooding.

Hurricanes40%Inland flooding29%Tornadoes11%Cold waves8%Coastal flooding6%Everything else7%
By hazard

What Oldsmar faces

Each hazard’s share of the damage FEMA expects here, and how that compares with the rest of the country.

Hurricanes

40% of expected damage
Well above average · higher than 91% of U.S. places
Recorded about once every 4 years in the area

Inland flooding

29% of expected damage
Below average · higher than 32% of U.S. places
Recorded about 2 times a year in the area

Tornadoes

11% of expected damage
Above average · higher than 57% of U.S. places

Cold waves

8% of expected damage
Above average · higher than 68% of U.S. places
Recorded about 3 times a year in the area

Coastal flooding

6% of expected damage
Well above average · higher than 98% of U.S. places

Lower here

HailHeat wavesWildfireEarthquakesStrong windLightning

Not a risk here

Ice stormsWinter weatherLandslidesDroughtAvalanchesTsunamisVolcanic activity
Flood risk changes street by street. Check a specific address on FEMA’s flood map, and ask about flood insurance before you buy.
Flood insurance claims

Does Oldsmar flood?

Every paid claim on a federal flood insurance policy in Oldsmar, from FEMA’s records.

619paid claims since 1979
$40.6Mpaid to owners
30homes flooded more than once
19792026

Biggest named events

  • Hurricane Helene: 342 claims, $30.3M
  • Hurricane Elena: 102 claims, $1.2M
  • Hurricane Milton: 41 claims, $5.7M

Homes that flooded again and again

■ FEMA “severe repetitive loss” (3) ■ flooded 2+ times

of all homes
are insured
🏷️ 25% off flood insurance. Oldsmar is in FEMA’s Community Rating System (class 5) for its flood-proofing work.
Insurance rates: Pinellas County.

What’s been done with FEMA grants

3homes raised above flood level
1buildings retrofitted against wind
Disasters that hit Oldsmar

11 federal disasters brought FEMA money here

Disasters the President declared that paid out in Oldsmar itself: aid to households, or repair grants to the City of Oldsmar.

Brought FEMA money into OldsmarDeclared for Pinellas County only
2024

Hurricane Milton

2,210 households applied for aid $1.1M aid approved $3.1M to the City of Oldsmar for repairs
2024

Hurricane Helene

1,400 households applied for aid $4.4M aid approved $156K to the City of Oldsmar for repairs
2024

Hurricane Debby

61 households applied for aid $39K aid approved $34K to the City of Oldsmar for repairs
2023

Hurricane Idalia

109 households applied for aid $85K aid approved $64K to the City of Oldsmar for repairs
2022

Hurricane Ian

441 households applied for aid $73K aid approved $157K to the City of Oldsmar for repairs
2017

Hurricane Irma

1,428 households applied for aid $265K aid approved $255K to the City of Oldsmar for repairs
2016

Hurricane Hermine

1 household applied for aid
2012

Tropical Storm Debby

20 households applied for aid $5K aid approved $23K to the City of Oldsmar for repairs
2004

Hurricane Jeanne

65 households applied for aid $18K aid approved $67K to the City of Oldsmar for repairs
2004

Hurricane Frances

37 households applied for aid $11K aid approved $37K to the City of Oldsmar for repairs
2004

Tropical Storm Bonnie and Hurricane Charley

$21K to the City of Oldsmar for repairs
Pinellas County has had 39 natural disasters declared since 1953, most often hurricanes and severe storms.
Around Oldsmar

Oldsmar and the towns around it

East Lake: High, mostly inland floodingTarpon Springs: High, mostly hurricanesPalm Harbor: High, mostly hurricanesKeystone: High, mostly inland floodingTrinity: High, mostly inland floodingWestchase: Moderate, mostly hurricanesOldsmar: High, mostly hurricanes OldsmarEast Lake
Very lowLowModerateHighVery high
East Lakemostly inland floodingHigh
Oldsmarmostly hurricanesHigh
About these numbers

How to read this page

An average, not a forecastFEMA’s National Risk Index estimates the damage 18 kinds of natural hazards cause in a typical year, from decades of records and models. A quiet decade can follow a bad year.
Compared by rate“Higher than N%” compares yearly damage as a share of what’s here, so a big city isn’t rated riskier just for having more buildings. Oldsmar covers 4 census tracts, combined by population.
Money that reached townFlood claims are matched to Oldsmar’s own flood-insurance community; household aid to the registrant’s city; repair grants to the City of Oldsmar. FEMA’s model follows property values, so a place that recently lost many homes can rate lower than it feels.

FEMA’s expected losses across Oldsmar total about $6.7M a year, counting buildings, people and crops.

Sources: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025); OpenFEMA: NFIP redacted claims, multiple-loss properties, community status book and residential penetration rates, housing assistance (owners and renters), public assistance funded projects, hazard mitigation properties and disaster declarations. Census tracts: U.S. Census Bureau.

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Boundary source: https://tigerweb.geo.census.gov/arcgis/rest/services/TIGERweb/Places_CouSub_ConCity_SubMCD/MapServer/18 · 2025-01-01