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Natural hazards · Nocatee

Nocatee, FL natural hazards

Most of the natural-hazard damage FEMA expects in Nocatee comes from inland flooding, and overall the risk is moderate for a U.S. community. Flood insurance has paid 3 claims here since 2017. 5 federal disasters brought FEMA money into town.

FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025 · OpenFEMA claims, aid & declarations
Expected damage

How exposed is Nocatee?

56
Moderate
vs. U.S. communities

FEMA expects yearly storm and flood damage to homes and buildings in Nocatee to be higher than in 56% of U.S. communities, mostly from inland flooding and hurricanes.

Inland flooding56%Hurricanes26%Tornadoes7%Everything else12%
By hazard

What Nocatee faces

Each hazard’s share of the damage FEMA expects here, and how that compares with the rest of the country.

Inland flooding

56% of expected damage
Above average · higher than 57% of U.S. places
Recorded about 2 times a year in the area

Hurricanes

26% of expected damage
Well above average · higher than 87% of U.S. places
Recorded about once every 3 years in the area

Tornadoes

7% of expected damage
Above average · higher than 52% of U.S. places
Recorded about once every 97 years in the area

Lower here

Coastal floodingHailCold wavesHeat wavesWildfireEarthquakesLandslidesStrong windLightning

Not a risk here

Ice stormsWinter weatherDroughtAvalanchesTsunamisVolcanic activity
Flood risk changes street by street. Check a specific address on FEMA’s flood map, and ask about flood insurance before you buy.
Flood insurance claims

Does Nocatee flood?

Every paid claim on a federal flood insurance policy in Nocatee, from FEMA’s records.

3paid claims since 2017
$121Kpaid to owners
0homes flooded more than once
20172026

Biggest named events

  • Hurricane Irma: 1 claim, $41K
of all homes
are insured
No community discount. Nocatee isn’t in FEMA’s Community Rating System, which cuts flood insurance up to 45% in towns that do extra flood-proofing.
Insurance rates: St. Johns County.
Disasters that hit Nocatee

5 federal disasters brought FEMA money here

Disasters the President declared that paid out in Nocatee itself: aid to households, or repair grants to Nocatee.

Brought FEMA money into NocateeDeclared for St. Johns County only
2022

Hurricane Ian

26 households applied for aid $78K aid approved
2017

Hurricane Irma

21 households applied for aid $8K aid approved
2004

Hurricane Jeanne

57 households applied for aid $306K aid approved
2004

Hurricane Frances

41 households applied for aid $161K aid approved
2004

Tropical Storm Bonnie and Hurricane Charley

304 households applied for aid $1.4M aid approved
St. Johns County has had 25 natural disasters declared since 1953, most often hurricanes and severe storms.
Around Nocatee

Nocatee and the towns around it

Palm Valley: High, mostly inland floodingJacksonville: Moderate, mostly inland floodingSawgrass: High, mostly inland floodingJacksonville Beach: Moderate, mostly inland floodingFruit Cove: High, mostly inland floodingAtlantic Beach: Low, mostly inland floodingOrange Park: Low, mostly inland floodingNassau Village-Ratliff: High, mostly inland floodingNeptune Beach: Moderate, mostly inland floodingBellair-Meadowbrook Terrace: Moderate, mostly inland floodingOakleaf Plantation: High, mostly inland floodingFleming Island: High, mostly inland floodingNocatee: Moderate, mostly inland flooding NocateePalm ValleyJacksonville
Very lowLowModerateHighVery high
Palm Valleymostly inland floodingHigh
Nocateemostly inland floodingModerate
Jacksonvillemostly inland floodingModerate
About these numbers

How to read this page

An average, not a forecastFEMA’s National Risk Index estimates the damage 18 kinds of natural hazards cause in a typical year, from decades of records and models. A quiet decade can follow a bad year.
Compared by rate“Higher than N%” compares yearly damage as a share of what’s here, so a big city isn’t rated riskier just for having more buildings. Nocatee covers 1 census tract, combined by population.
Money that reached townFlood claims are matched to Nocatee’s own flood-insurance community (here, the census tracts inside it); household aid to the registrant’s city; repair grants to Nocatee. FEMA’s model follows property values, so a place that recently lost many homes can rate lower than it feels.

FEMA’s expected losses across Nocatee total about $6.0M a year, counting buildings, people and crops.

Sources: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025); OpenFEMA: NFIP redacted claims, multiple-loss properties, community status book and residential penetration rates, housing assistance (owners and renters), public assistance funded projects, hazard mitigation properties and disaster declarations. Census tracts: U.S. Census Bureau.

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Boundary source: https://tigerweb.geo.census.gov/arcgis/rest/services/TIGERweb/Places_CouSub_ConCity_SubMCD/MapServer/19 · 2025-01-01
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