Natural hazards · Mission Canyon

Mission Canyon, CA natural hazards

Most of the natural-hazard damage FEMA expects in Mission Canyon comes from inland flooding, and overall the risk is very high for a U.S. community.

FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025 · OpenFEMA claims, aid & declarations
Expected damage

How exposed is Mission Canyon?

99
Very high
vs. U.S. communities

FEMA expects yearly storm and flood damage to homes and buildings in Mission Canyon to be higher than in 99% of U.S. communities, mostly from inland flooding and earthquakes.

Inland flooding28%Earthquakes25%Landslides24%Wildfire24%
By hazard

What Mission Canyon faces

Each hazard’s share of the damage FEMA expects here, and how that compares with the rest of the country.

Inland flooding

28% of expected damage
Well above average · higher than 93% of U.S. places
Recorded about 2 times a year in the area

Earthquakes

25% of expected damage
Well above average · higher than 94% of U.S. places

Landslides

24% of expected damage
Well above average · among the top 1% of U.S. places

Wildfire

24% of expected damage
Well above average · among the top 1% of U.S. places

Lower here

TornadoesHailWinter weatherHeat wavesStrong windLightning

Not a risk here

Coastal floodingHurricanesIce stormsCold wavesDroughtAvalanchesTsunamisVolcanic activity
Flood risk changes street by street. Check a specific address on FEMA’s flood map, and ask about flood insurance before you buy.
Flood insurance claims

Does Mission Canyon flood?

FEMA's records show no paid flood insurance claims in Mission Canyon.

of homes in flood zones
are insured
of all homes
are insured
No community discount. Mission Canyon isn’t in FEMA’s Community Rating System, which cuts flood insurance up to 45% in towns that do extra flood-proofing.
Insurance rates: Santa Barbara County.
Disasters that hit Mission Canyon

Federal disasters declared here

None of the disasters declared for Santa Barbara County shows FEMA aid or repair money reaching Mission Canyon itself in FEMA’s records.

Brought FEMA money into Mission CanyonDeclared for Santa Barbara County only
Santa Barbara County has had 35 natural disasters declared since 1953, most often floods and fires.
Around Mission Canyon

Mission Canyon and the towns around it

Santa Barbara: Very high, mostly earthquakesMontecito: Very high, mostly inland floodingEastern Goleta Valley: Very high, mostly inland floodingGoleta: Very high, mostly earthquakesUniversity of California-Santa Barbara: Very high, mostly earthquakesMission Canyon: Very high, mostly inland flooding Mission CanyonSanta Barbara
Very lowLowModerateHighVery high
Mission Canyonmostly inland floodingVery high
Santa Barbaramostly earthquakesVery high
About these numbers

How to read this page

An average, not a forecastFEMA’s National Risk Index estimates the damage 18 kinds of natural hazards cause in a typical year, from decades of records and models. A quiet decade can follow a bad year.
Compared by rate“Higher than N%” compares yearly damage as a share of what’s here, so a big city isn’t rated riskier just for having more buildings. Mission Canyon is smaller than a census tract, so it shares the figures of the tract around its center.
Money that reached townFlood claims are matched to Mission Canyon’s own flood-insurance community; household aid to the registrant’s city; repair grants to Mission Canyon. FEMA’s model follows property values, so a place that recently lost many homes can rate lower than it feels.

Sources: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025); OpenFEMA: NFIP redacted claims, multiple-loss properties, community status book and residential penetration rates, housing assistance (owners and renters), public assistance funded projects, hazard mitigation properties and disaster declarations. Census tracts: U.S. Census Bureau.

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Boundary source: https://tigerweb.geo.census.gov/arcgis/rest/services/TIGERweb/Places_CouSub_ConCity_SubMCD/MapServer/19 · 2025-01-01