Climate · Likely

Likely, CA climate

Likely has chilly, snowy winters and warm summers, with very little rain. A typical July afternoon reaches 89°, a January night drops to 21°, and about 82 inches of snow falls in a normal winter.

NOAA 1991-2020 climate normals Updated once a decade
July high
89°
750th coolest of 1,618 California towns
January low
21°
26th coldest of 1,618 California towns
Rain + melted snow
13 in
495th driest of 1,618 California towns
Snow a winter
82 in
43rd snowiest of 1,499 California towns
A normal year

What a year in Likely feels like

Winter

44° / 21°
Typical high / low · 30 days with an inch or more of snow

Spring

60° / 31°
Typical high / low · Last frost around Jun 3

Summer

85° / 46°
Typical high / low · 40 days reach 90° in a normal year

Fall

66° / 32°
Typical high / low · First frost around Sep 12
Best months to be outsideJunHighs of 62–84° and lows of 40° or more
Month by month

Likely weather by month

Average highs, lows, rain and snow for every month, from NOAA’s 1991–2020 normals.

MonthHighLowRain + meltSnowWet days30-yr range
January44°21°1.5" 12.5"9 24° – 41°
February47°23°1.2" 8.7"9 27° – 42°
March53°27°1.4" 14.5"10 34° – 47°
April59°30°1.5" 14.4"10 40° – 50°
May68°37°1.7" 4.2"8 46° – 60°
June78°42°0.8" 0.4"5 56° – 68°
July89°48°0.2" 02 61° – 73°
August88°46°0.3" 02 63° – 71°
September80°40°0.4" 0.1"3 56° – 65°
October67°31°0.9" 2.9"5 44° – 54°
November51°25°1.4" 8.1"8 28° – 44°
December42°20°1.8" 16.2"9 25° – 35°
Year64°33°12.8"82.0"79

“Wet days” have at least 0.01" of rain or melted snow. “Snow on ground” counts days with 1" or more. The 30-year range is the coldest and warmest that month’s average temperature got between 1991 and 2020.

Rain & snow

Rain and snow in Likely

Likely gets 13 inches of rain and melted snow a year. December is the wettest month and July the driest. Rain or snow falls on about 79 days a year.

13 in
Rain + melted snow a year
Less rain than 96% of U.S. towns
82 in
Snow in a normal winter
More snow than 95% of U.S. towns
79 days
With rain or snow (0.01"+)

Rain + melted snow by month

Inches of water
1.8"

Snowfall by month

Inches of snow
16"
Frost & the growing season

About 97 frost-free days a year

In half of years the last 32° night comes by June 3 and the first one by September 12. That leaves about 97 frost-free days for gardens, shorter than 99% of U.S. towns.

196
nights at or below 32° in a normal year
4
nights below 0° in a normal year
40
days that reach 90° in a normal year

Freezing nights by month

Average nights at or below 32°

90° days by month

Average days at 90° or more
Heating & cooling

Heating and cooling a home in Likely

Engineers use “degree days” to estimate how hard a furnace or air conditioner works. In Likely, 97% of that work is heating and 3% is cooling, so the furnace matters far more than the air conditioner.

97%heating
6,558 heating degree daysMore heating than 67% of U.S. towns
235 cooling degree daysLess cooling than 95% of U.S. towns

Degree days measure how far each day’s average temperature falls below or rises above 65°, added up over a year. Source: NOAA station normals.

Compared with other towns

How Likely compares

Summer heat89° July high
Hotter than 74% of U.S. towns750th coolest of 1,618 California towns
Winter cold21° January low
Milder than 58% of U.S. towns26th coldest of 1,618 California towns
Precipitation13" a year
Drier than 96% of U.S. towns495th driest of 1,618 California towns
Snow82" a winter
Snowier than 95% of U.S. towns43rd snowiest of 1,499 California towns
Growing season97 frost-free days
Shorter than 99% of U.S. towns31st shortest of 1,542 California towns

Compared with every U.S. town and city on TownTapestry, each counted once.

Then and now

Warmer than it used to be

+1.4°1991–2020 average vs. the 20th century (1901–2000)

The last 30 years in Likely averaged 1.4° warmer than the 1900s. The biggest change is in January (+3.4°). The shift is larger than in 60% of U.S. towns.

❄️ Winter+1.9° now 33°, was 31°
🌷 Spring+1.0° now 46°, was 45°
☀️ Summer+1.4° now 65°, was 64°
🍂 Fall+1.1° now 49°, was 48°

Change by month1991–2020 average minus 1901–2000 average, at Likely’s spot on NOAA’s grid

Year to year

How much a month can swing

A normal is an average, and real years wander around it. January swings the most: between 1991 and 2020 its average temperature ranged from 24° to 41°. August is the most reliable, staying within 8°.

Coldest to warmest month in 30 yearsNormal
Questions

Common questions about Likely’s climate

What is the coldest month in Likely?

December, with a typical high of 42° and a low of 20°.

What is the hottest month in Likely?

July, with a typical high of 89° and a low of 48°. About 40 days a year reach 90°.

How much snow does Likely get?

About 82 inches in a normal winter, most of it in December.

When is the first frost in Likely?

In half of years the first 32° night comes by September 12, and the last spring frost by June 3.

What is the rainiest month in Likely?

December, with 1.8 inches of rain and melted snow. The year totals 13 inches.

Temperatures and rainfall come from NOAA’s gridded climate normals for Likely itself (about a 3-mile square). Snow, frost dates and day counts come from NOAA’s weather station at Jess Valley, CA (11 mi, snow) and Alturas Municipal Airport, CA (19 mi, frost, heat and degree days). Normals are 30-year averages, not a forecast. Source: NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991–2020 and 1901–2000.

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