Natural hazards · Warm Springs

Warm Springs, AR natural hazards

Most of the natural-hazard damage FEMA expects in Warm Springs comes from earthquakes, and overall the risk is high for a U.S. community. 6 federal disasters brought FEMA money into town.

FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025 · OpenFEMA claims, aid & declarations
Expected damage

How exposed is Warm Springs?

77
High
vs. U.S. communities

FEMA expects yearly storm and flood damage to homes and buildings in Warm Springs to be higher than in 77% of U.S. communities, mostly from earthquakes and cold waves.

Earthquakes29%Cold waves21%Inland flooding21%Tornadoes14%Heat waves8%Everything else7%
By hazard

What Warm Springs faces

Each hazard’s share of the damage FEMA expects here, and how that compares with the rest of the country.

Earthquakes

29% of expected damage
Well above average · higher than 87% of U.S. places

Cold waves

21% of expected damage
Well above average · higher than 94% of U.S. places
Recorded about 3 times a year in the area

Inland flooding

21% of expected damage
Above average · higher than 66% of U.S. places
Recorded about 3 times a year in the area

Tornadoes

14% of expected damage
Well above average · higher than 96% of U.S. places
Recorded about once every 8 years in the area

Heat waves

8% of expected damage
Well above average · higher than 84% of U.S. places
Recorded about 18 times a year in the area

Lower here

HurricanesHailIce stormsWinter weatherWildfireLandslidesStrong windLightningDrought

Not a risk here

Coastal floodingAvalanchesTsunamisVolcanic activity
Flood risk changes street by street. Check a specific address on FEMA’s flood map, and ask about flood insurance before you buy.
Flood insurance claims

Does Warm Springs flood?

FEMA's records show no paid flood insurance claims in Warm Springs.

of homes in flood zones
are insured
of all homes
are insured
No community discount. Warm Springs isn’t in FEMA’s Community Rating System, which cuts flood insurance up to 45% in towns that do extra flood-proofing.
Insurance rates: Randolph County.
Disasters that hit Warm Springs

6 federal disasters brought FEMA money here

Disasters the President declared that paid out in Warm Springs itself: aid to households, or repair grants to Warm Springs.

Brought FEMA money into Warm SpringsDeclared for Randolph County only
2025

Severe Storms, Tornadoes, and Flooding

2 households applied for aid $4K aid approved
2025

Severe Storms and Tornadoes

6 households applied for aid $20K aid approved
2024

Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, and Flooding

1 household applied for aid
2014

Severe Storms,tornadoes, and Flooding

2 households applied for aid $5K aid approved
2011

Severe Storms, Tornadoes, and Associated Flooding

1 household applied for aid
2008

Severe Storms, Tornadoes, and Flooding

4 households applied for aid
Randolph County has had 22 natural disasters declared since 1953, most often severe storms and floods.
About these numbers

How to read this page

An average, not a forecastFEMA’s National Risk Index estimates the damage 18 kinds of natural hazards cause in a typical year, from decades of records and models. A quiet decade can follow a bad year.
Compared by rate“Higher than N%” compares yearly damage as a share of what’s here, so a big city isn’t rated riskier just for having more buildings. Warm Springs is smaller than a census tract, so it shares the figures of the tract around its center.
Money that reached townFlood claims are matched to Warm Springs’s own flood-insurance community; household aid to the registrant’s city; repair grants to Warm Springs. FEMA’s model follows property values, so a place that recently lost many homes can rate lower than it feels.

Sources: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025); OpenFEMA: NFIP redacted claims, multiple-loss properties, community status book and residential penetration rates, housing assistance (owners and renters), public assistance funded projects, hazard mitigation properties and disaster declarations. Census tracts: U.S. Census Bureau.

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Boundary source: https://tigerweb.geo.census.gov/arcgis/rest/services/TIGERweb/Places_CouSub_ConCity_SubMCD/MapServer/19 · 2025-01-01