Natural hazards · St. Paul

St. Paul, AR natural hazards

Most of the natural-hazard damage FEMA expects in St. Paul comes from inland flooding, and overall the risk is high for a U.S. community. Flood insurance has paid 1 claim here since 2013. 2 federal disasters brought FEMA money into town.

FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025 · OpenFEMA claims, aid & declarations

Expected damage

How exposed is St. Paul?

High

vs. U.S. communities

FEMA expects yearly storm and flood damage to homes and buildings in St. Paul to be higher than in 74% of U.S. communities, mostly from inland flooding and tornadoes.

Inland flooding55%Tornadoes15%Heat waves8%Ice storms7%Everything else15%

By hazard

What St. Paul faces

Each hazard’s share of the damage FEMA expects here, and how that compares with the rest of the country.

Inland flooding

55% of expected damage

Well above average · higher than 81% of U.S. places

Recorded about 2 times a year in the area

Tornadoes

15% of expected damage

Well above average · higher than 95% of U.S. places

Recorded about once every 5 years in the area

Heat waves

8% of expected damage

Above average · higher than 69% of U.S. places

Recorded about 9 times a year in the area

Ice storms

7% of expected damage

Well above average · among the top 1% of U.S. places

Recorded about 2 times a year in the area

Lower here

HurricanesHailWinter weatherCold wavesWildfireEarthquakesLandslidesStrong windLightning

Not a risk here

Coastal floodingDroughtAvalanchesTsunamisVolcanic activity

Flood risk changes street by street. Check a specific address on FEMA’s flood map, and ask about flood insurance before you buy.

Flood insurance claims

Does St. Paul flood?

Every paid claim on a federal flood insurance policy in St. Paul, from FEMA’s records.

1paid claims since 2013

$8Kpaid to owners

0homes flooded more than once

20132026

of all homes
are insured

No community discount. St. Paul isn’t in FEMA’s Community Rating System, which cuts flood insurance up to 45% in towns that do extra flood-proofing.

Insurance rates: Madison County.

Disasters that hit St. Paul

2 federal disasters brought FEMA money here

Disasters the President declared that paid out in St. Paul itself: aid to households, or repair grants to the Town of St. Paul.

Brought FEMA money into St. PaulDeclared for Madison County only

2011

Severe Storms, Tornadoes, and Associated Flooding

4 households applied for aid $1K aid approved

2008

Severe Storms, Tornadoes, and Flooding

9 households applied for aid $70K aid approved $9K to the Town of St. Paul for repairs

Madison County has had 25 natural disasters declared since 1953, most often severe storms and floods.

About these numbers

How to read this page

An average, not a forecastFEMA’s National Risk Index estimates the damage 18 kinds of natural hazards cause in a typical year, from decades of records and models. A quiet decade can follow a bad year.

Compared by rate“Higher than N%” compares yearly damage as a share of what’s here, so a big city isn’t rated riskier just for having more buildings. St. Paul is smaller than a census tract, so it shares the figures of the tract around its center.

Money that reached townFlood claims are matched to St. Paul’s own flood-insurance community; household aid to the registrant’s city; repair grants to the Town of St. Paul. FEMA’s model follows property values, so a place that recently lost many homes can rate lower than it feels.

Sources: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025); OpenFEMA: NFIP redacted claims, multiple-loss properties, community status book and residential penetration rates, housing assistance (owners and renters), public assistance funded projects, hazard mitigation properties and disaster declarations. Census tracts: U.S. Census Bureau.