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Natural hazards in Buffalo · FEMA

Buffalo’s biggest natural hazard is inland flooding

Most of the natural-hazard damage FEMA expects in Buffalo comes from inland flooding, and overall the risk is very high for a U.S. community.

85Very high riskLowerHigherExpected storm and flood damage, vs. U.S. communities
Overall risk
Very high
higher than 85% of U.S. places
Main hazard
Inland flooding
53% of expected damage
Flood claims
0
none on record
Disasters paid out here
0
of 17 declared for Baxter County

What stands out about Buffalo’s weather risks

Read from FEMA’s records below. The page puts what stands out first.

★ What stands out · Flood insurance claims

Does Buffalo flood? No paid flood claims on record

FEMA’s records show no paid flood insurance claims in Buffalo. That’s not a promise: most homes don’t carry flood insurance, so small floods go unrecorded.

of homes in flood zones are insured
of all homes are insured
No community discount

Buffalo isn’t in FEMA’s Community Rating System, which cuts flood insurance up to 45% in towns that do extra flood-proofing.

Insurance rates: Baxter County.
Expected damage

How exposed is Buffalo?

FEMA expects yearly storm and flood damage to homes and buildings here to be higher than in 85% of U.S. communities, mostly from inland flooding and tornadoes.

Where Buffalo sits
Buffalo
Very lowLowModerateHighVery high

Rated higher than 537 of the 626 Arkansas towns we cover.

Buffalo is smaller than a census tract, so it shares the figures of the tract around its center.

What drives the damage
Inland flooding53%Tornadoes16%Ice storms9%Cold waves7%Strong wind6%Everything else10%
By hazard

What Buffalo faces

Each hazard’s share of the damage FEMA expects here, and how it compares with the rest of the country.

Inland flooding

53%of expected damage
Well above average · higher than 93% of U.S. places
Recorded about once a year in the area

Tornadoes

16%of expected damage
Well above average · higher than 94% of U.S. places
Recorded about once every 6 years in the area

Ice storms

9%of expected damage
Well above average · among the top 1% of U.S. places
Recorded about 2 times a year in the area

Cold waves

7%of expected damage
Below average · higher than 44% of U.S. places
Recorded about 2 times a year in the area

Strong wind

6%of expected damage
Well above average · higher than 82% of U.S. places
Recorded about 3 times a year in the area
Lower here
🌀 Hurricanes🧊 Hail❄️ Winter weather🌡️ Heat waves🔥 Wildfire🏚️ Earthquakes⛰️ Landslides⚡ Lightning
Not a risk here
Coastal floodingDroughtAvalanchesTsunamisVolcanic activity
Flood risk changes street by street. Check a specific address on FEMA’s flood map, and ask about flood insurance before you buy.
Storms remembered

Federal disasters declared here

None of the disasters declared for Baxter County shows FEMA aid or repair money reaching Buffalo itself in FEMA’s records.

Disasters declared, by decade
Paid out in BuffaloBaxter County only

Baxter County has had 17 natural disasters declared since 1953, most often severe storms and hurricanes.

Be ready

Get ready for what Buffalo actually faces

A short kit for its top hazards, what to check before you buy, and where neighbors get alerts.

When the river rises
  • Turn around at flooded roads: a foot of moving water can carry off a car.
  • Flood insurance usually takes 30 days to start, so buy it before the forecast.
  • Keep papers and medicines up high, in a grab-and-go bag.
More from Ready.gov ↗
Tornado warnings
  • Pick your spot now: the lowest floor, an inside room, no windows.
  • A watch means be ready; a warning means take cover now.
  • Keep shoes and a flashlight by the bed.
More from Ready.gov ↗
Ice storms
  • Ice brings down trees and lines: plan for days without power.
  • Run a generator outside, far from doors and windows.
  • Keep sand or salt by the door.
More from Ready.gov ↗
Before you buy or rent
  • Look up the address on FEMA’s flood map.
  • Ask the seller or landlord whether it has ever flooded, and what flood insurance costs there.
  • Get a flood insurance quote early: policies usually start 30 days after you buy.
When a storm is coming
Forecast and alertsWeather →911, the nearest ERSafety →

Know where neighbors sign up for alerts? Add it to the Handbook so everyone has it.

Storm season

Most disasters here begin in December–January

The month each of Baxter County’s 17 declared disasters began, since 1953.

3J
1F
2M
4A
1M
J
J
2A
S
O
N
4D
Severe stormsFloodsHurricanesIce stormsWinter stormsDroughts
How to read this page

What these numbers can and can’t tell you

  • An average, not a forecast. FEMA’s National Risk Index estimates the damage 18 kinds of natural hazards cause in a typical year, from decades of records and models. A quiet decade can follow a bad year.
  • Compared by rate. “Higher than N%” compares yearly damage as a share of what’s there, so a big city isn’t rated riskier just for having more buildings.
  • Money that reached town. Flood claims are matched to Buffalo’s own flood-insurance community; household aid to the registrant’s city; repair grants to Buffalo.
  • It follows property value. FEMA’s model weighs damage to buildings, so a place that recently lost many homes can rate lower than it feels.

Storm stories

Memories, warnings and help from neighbors in Buffalo.

Town Square →
Weigh in
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Sources: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025); OpenFEMA: NFIP redacted claims, multiple-loss properties, community status book and residential penetration rates, housing assistance (owners and renters), public assistance funded projects, hazard mitigation properties and disaster declarations. Census tracts: U.S. Census Bureau. Preparedness tips: Ready.gov. An average of past damage, not a forecast.

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